LovingGulfLows
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I know FFC is shaking in their boots after that Euro run. Catastrophic level winter storm for all of N GA if that verified.
Looks like ATL might be the bullseye.Thinking about heading to Avery county to chase -- does that seem like the right spot?
I will say after that euro run they're likely going to increase their confidence slightly. While fluctuations will happen this seems to be a really good situation for us unless it goes way north.I know FFC is shaking in their boots after that Euro run. Catastrophic level winter storm for all of N GA if that verified.
Less amp solution=weaker low=less warm nose =more snowThat would a horrible ice storm for the Midlands. What would it take to trend this more towards sleet along the I-20 corrdiors areas in SC and eastern GA?
GFS has been trending that way also. This is a good range on the models to start reeling this in.Very big EPS run coming up. It has grown more bullish for the I-20 crowd the last few cycles. Hopefully it supports that OP run in a big way.
He is notoriously bad at winter weather, severe is a different story.Spann....maybe he spoke too soon :]
SNOW, AND RUMORS OF SNOW: I always try and cut through the noise and keep it real here, as you know. Let's get right to the weekend.
A disturbance will bring rain to the state, most likely Saturday night and Sunday morning.
You will see deterministic model output from the American global model (the GFS) all over social media this morning, showing a "snow storm" for North Alabama.
What you won't see all over social media is output from the reliable European global model, which shows mostly a cold rain with only a few snow flakes.
What model are you looking at? This has the making a historic storm for a lot of people on this board. Like I said before focusing on these clown maps this far is out not the right way to go about predicting the final solution.We just can't win in Charlotte. It was looking like this one was for us now Atlanta has it![]()
That would be our version of what Texas got last year. Especially with the pattern we look to be in for the next two weeks.I know FFC is shaking in their boots after that Euro run. Catastrophic level winter storm for all of N GA if that verified.
Had a whole house generator installed last year and propane is full?Truthfully this solution would be devastating better have get the chimneys, firewood, generators and portable stoves ready to go
I feel like a trend towards a weaker low is unlikely at this point. The Models are consistently trending towards a more amped wave with the engery in the SW with each and every run. I think the best we can hope for barring a miracle is that there's more sleet involed and less freezing rain as we get closer(like February 2014).Less amp solution=weaker low=less warm nose =more snow
Down yall's way, i doubt you're going to get out of the freezing rain. That warm nose is stout at 850.I feel like a trend towards a weaker is unlikely at this point. The Models are consistently trending towards a more amped wave with the engery in the SW with each and every run. I think the best we can hope for barring a miracle is that there's more sleet involed and less freezing rain as we get closer(like February 2014).
Could this finally be the time that Atlanta gets their first 6" snowfall in 39 years ?
That would be our version of what Texas got last year. Especially with the pattern we look to be in for the next two weeks.
850mb low and temperatures on Euro
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I take him with a grain of salt when he starts talking winter weather. Just glad to see north Alabama getting in on the fun againHe is notoriously bad at winter weather, severe is a different story.
There is some indication that the storm's forward speed may slow substantially while it pivots across the Southeast this weekend. This deceleration might allow the storm to gain strength and pull in more moisture, which could result in a moderate or heavy wintry precipitation event.
"If all of the pieces come together perfectly on Sunday, snowfall amounts could exceed a foot from northern Georgia through portions of the Carolinas and southern Virginia as the storm strengthens," AccuWeather Meteorologist Randy Adkins said.
Absolutely can with that low track. If it's close to you, it will warm up. Sometimes CAD holds on longer if the HP is depicted as modeled. Still lots to sort out with that kind of detail.The Euro literally has the CLT area go from the around 24 degrees at noon to 35 degrees by midnight. Does anyone actually buy that? lol
It would be great if we could get a solution like the 12z UKMET today or 0z CMC from last night. If we could get it into the Gulf or Panhandle area and keep it from cutting inland, that'd be awesome. Too much amping and it's introducing warm air, that is hurting us. Hopefully we get a better solution on future runs, esp. once it enters the US and we get better data.I feel like a trend towards a weaker low is unlikely at this point. The Models are consistently trending towards a more amped wave with the engery in the SW with each and every run. I think the best we can hope for barring a miracle is that there's more sleet involed and less freezing rain as we get closer(like February 2014).
No I don’t, but I also know that the Euro has a tendency of pushing out CAD way too quickly. One thing that does look to be the case here is that of a very strong and cold CAD. All of the models are putting temperatures throughout the NC Piedmont and SC Upstate in the low to mid 20s when precip starts. Been awhile since we had a storm that coldThe Euro literally has the CLT area go from the around 24 degrees at noon to 35 degrees by midnight. Does anyone actually buy that? lol
The Mean is about to be nuts here shortly in the western carolinas and northern georgia.
Exactly. Took the words right out of my mouth. We know if we get the precip falling when temps are that cold, it's going to stay COLD thorough the duration of the event. Been through wayyyy too many CAD setups to fall for things warming up like some models tend to depict.No I don’t, but I also know that the Euro has a tendency of pushing out CAD way too quickly. One thing that does look to be the case here is that of a very strong and cold CAD. All of the models are putting temperatures throughout the NC Piedmont and SC Upstate in the low to mid 20s when precip starts. Been awhile since we had a storm that cold