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Stormlover
Member
The 12Z EPS agrees with the operational and has 2 freezes for ATL 1/10-11. Wasn't there talk here recently about ATL possibly not having another freeze this winter? Not going to happen. Earliest last freeze at KATL is mid Feb I believe (in the 1980s?)and that in itself was far off the norm.
Stormlover
Member
Yes, and I still don't understand why someone would have posted something that nutty on here.
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olhausen
Member
Wow big differences in the models from yesterday and today’s runs. Was looking like a full week of torching but has now flipped to cold starting next Wednesday.
Yesterday’s 12Z run for midday next Wednesday
Today’s 12z run for the same time.
Here’s the morning lows from the same time and order.
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Yesterday’s 12Z run for midday next Wednesday
Today’s 12z run for the same time.
Here’s the morning lows from the same time and order.
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ATLwxfan
Member
A warm spell in January turns this place into Weenieville.
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whatalife
Moderator
12z EPS is yet another improvement.
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Anyone else in East TN / north GA getting small hail with this band of showers?
olhausen
Member
Honestly even when we were cold last year people were still shouting winter is over from November on. I don’t know I guess to be fair it’s easier for me to not give up since I live in one of the more favorable places for snow in the southeast outside of the mountains. Snow almost never comes before mid January minus some flurries and dustings so I never start worrying until then. I’ll admit I have been getting a little nervous lately but that was because I let myself buy into the hype of a stellar winter and got my hopes up when I started seeing dustings in November followed by a few more in early December. Anyways here’s hoping to all of us scoring some accumulating snows soon!
snowlover91
Member
For those with access to the EPS day 11-15, how does it look? On the Tidbits maps it looks improved days 5-10.
Wulfer
Member
We didn't get the hail but, we got thunder here! Now, just waiting on that snow 10 days later!
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Slightly warmer 12Z EPS 11-15 vs 0Z EPS but still very slightly colder than 12Z EPS 11-15 of 24 hours ago. And as you said, the 12Z EPS 6-10 is clearly colder than 0Z. The 6-15 nets out very slightly colder than the 0Z run in the SE.
I think that person didn't have a true passion for winter or wanted to troll at the time. Regardless, there shouldn't be much for them to talk about once the cold gets here.
Showmeyourtds
Member
snowlover91
Member
People usually will find something even when it's cold.. like the warm nose, ground temps, sun angle, it never snows in their backyard, it's a dry cold, etc.
Storm5
Member
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B
Brick Tamland
Guest
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Hmmm...two big hits and one decent one here.
D
Deleted member 609
Guest
Also 47 misses
B
Brick Tamland
Guest
Also 12 days out.
SnowNiner
Member
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At this point, I'm not looking for any snow in the next 2 weeks. I'm just looking to get out of this mess pattern into a producible nino pattern. Come January 20th hopefully it'll be tracking time. Pattern tracking unfortunately continues.
Triplephase93
Member
In hixson nothing but a very heavy rain here
Storm5
Member
The period to watch IF there is anything to watch would be the 14th-16th per the 18z run .But no way that southern Vort survives with this dominating northern stream look
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accu35
Member
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Ok, just figure I post it. Moving on i guessThe period to watch IF there is anything to watch would be the 14th-16th per the 18z run .But no way that southern Vort survives with this dominating northern stream look
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Jessy89
Member
Oh look dusting of snow upstate sc western N.C. and ne Georgia
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accu35
Member
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- Jan 5, 2017
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Could be an onset snow for some but that's about it probably. Not unless we get colder
Oh look dusting of snow upstate sc western N.C. and ne Georgia
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Jessy89
Member
At this point I’d accept a quick burst that covers ground. For a few pictures if that’s really the best we can do
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Come on FV3, reel it in!
Kylo
Member
One thing the EPS and GEFS both agree is the cold staying bottled up over the arctic and northern Canada. Europe cold though. Pattern is getting better by the 20th but still work to do. Last year it took a good 3 weeks before we turned colder across the east. Hopefully by next week we start seeing signs on extended guidance.
Jessy89
Member
Please don’t be a cutter it might work
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pcbjr
Member
That just might, might, might work ... 1st damn positive thing from your Curmudgeon in days ...Come on FV3, reel it in!
Looking on a US heating DD basis, the cooling on the op GFS since the 12Z run of yesterday for 1/9-15 has been nothing short of impressive!
12Z Thu run: 137 HDD -41 vs norm
0Z Fri run: 144
6Z Fri 165
12z fri 173
18Z Fri 180 +2 vs norm
Edit: I should add that the GFS is warm biased.
12Z Thu run: 137 HDD -41 vs norm
0Z Fri run: 144
6Z Fri 165
12z fri 173
18Z Fri 180 +2 vs norm
Edit: I should add that the GFS is warm biased.
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Storm5
Member
Stormlover
Member
That weather system won't be a cutter on the FV3.
Kylo
Member
cd2play
Member
What about a clipper?
Cad Wedge NC
Member
Come on man ....... we are seeing signs of a pattern change now. Are you still in denial?