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Pattern Jammin January 2024

Fwiw the 18z EPS/control looks better. In fact the height field suppression on the control is just as good, if not slightly better then last nights 00z run, which lead to a colder SE Vs last nights run, which would probably bode well for the storm. 4DA78BCF-EAA9-49E9-8230-87ADDE0A3781.gif
 
Fwiw the 18z EPS/control looks better. In fact the height field suppression on the control is just as good, if not slightly better then last nights 00z run, which lead to a colder SE Vs last nights run, which would probably bode well for the storm. View attachment 140685
Probably even better for the western area too? Correct?
 
Just once I want to experience a blue norther
Probably the closest thing to it we’ve ever had in the NC Piedmont in my lifetime was when the backdoor cold front pushed through as the February 1994 ice storm approached. It was pretty amazing to go home from school one day and play basketball outside with temperatures in the upper 70s and then the next day be driving home from school in a raging sleet storm with temperatures in the mid 20s.
 
12z UKMet had a weaker, more suppressed look with snow breaking out from Shreveport to Tupelo at the end. 1st image loop is comparison of the Euro vs. UKMet at the end at hr168

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I don't hate this look at the end of the 00Z ICON.

Arctic air pressing down with west to wsw flow aloft with a little bagginess in the SW US.
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Seems like the 16th is a no go for upstate and piedmont. Going to cut through alps or TN and cold air chasing moisture. We all know that never works anywhere in Carolina’s outside of the mountains. But the pattern coming up seems almost almost guaranteed to score. But we also are very good at screwing up great patterns.
 
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