In a crappy pattern I’ll take any chance we can get certainly a CAD event of some sort isn’t off the table here
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Pattern Jammin January 2023
- Thread starter Goose88
- Start date
Most of us on this forum are in the business of hope. The only hopeful thing showing is a mighty cold air mass moving into the continent, and we are not fighting stale pacific air but the SE ridge. If we can get a high pressure in the NE to send enough of that air down around a boundary, then something is possible
A year ago today 
Stormsfury
Member
I'm right on the northern portion of the 144.0" ?
Dont let Logan Elliot see the -PNA trend on the gefs 
MichaelJ
Member
Dude, I admire your optimism however misplaced it is! ?
iGRXY
Member
This is a more -PNA/-NAO with a 50/50 look. Textbook Miller B/CAD pattern. At a minimum we are likely staying in the low 40’s for the foreseeable future
iGRXY
Member
It stopped raining on the radar around 10 here. But was still getting moderate rain for another hour. Since then it’s been a consistent heavy mist and I’ve been stuck at 38. Better get used to it lol
A good portion of GEFS ensembles had a CAD icing and or winter weather of some variety at that 240+ time frame. A legit possibility if the cold can bleed east but we saw the same thing February 2021 just for everything bro go west and we got warm.
That 50/50 trend though ?
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Nice to see some agreement of some building off of cold air masses here which have the potential to parade into the US .. first stop is going to obviously favor central and western US though. The key would be kicking this out our way. Not impossible but again a heavily favored better scenario for winter precip west of here. 
TPV is pretty far east though in this upcoming western trough regime. Something that can’t be ignored
And that can get cold air east given enough table setters
Which is usually money for us. But the Aluetian ridge which I assume is La Nina driven is going to ruin it for us
Yeah. It’s weird where the TPV sets up though, the pattern is very tilted, normally with a -PNA regime it’s sets up in central-western Canada or dives down to the PNW. I’m not a fan of it but could be argued that cold bleeds east a little time to time. especially if it ticks south on modeling. Ofc by that I mean it’s nothing compared to the plains, and we’re on the warmer side other then sporadic 40 degree days
IDK. I'd not be starting the tomato plants just yet with this look.
Channeling my inner Bastardi, I see lots of cracks in the artic dam showing up to start Flaming February.
Channeling my inner Bastardi, I see lots of cracks in the artic dam showing up to start Flaming February.
Probably need a thread for this severe threat
I thought about planting my annuals based upon some on this board.IDK. I'd not be starting the tomato plants just yet with this look.
Channeling my inner Bastardi, I see lots of cracks in the artic dam showing up to start Flaming February.
They make it seem as if Winter is dead no more freezing temps nor even frost.
Which is crazy.
Of course this doesn't mean any frozen weather for most.
But at least acknowledge that yes it's going to be warm to very warm but cold temps are not done.