End of season winter bang potential is legit
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Pattern Jammin January 2023
- Thread starter Goose88
- Start date
Stormlover
Member
Yep, and the heat island effect is being ignored.
Brent
Member
Winter alive and well here apparently. This could actually be our biggest snowstorm of the winter if it lines up right. The only accumulation was during the Christmas cold so far 
Sunday looks miserable around here, temps in 30s with rain, wouldn't even rule out a few ip at onset. Doubt warm air makes much westward progress into a solid wedge either. Great day for football I guess
3k NAM at end of it's run had dews still in 20s as precip was arriving
3k NAM at end of it's run had dews still in 20s as precip was arriving
LukeBarrette
im north of 90% of people on here so yeah
Meteorology Student
Member
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Please
rburrel2
Member
pretty big change from the previous 12z run shown below... another jump like that and we will have to worry about suppression
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We have the CFS ??
? crazy thing is this is the second system in 150 hours or so 
And then that sets the stage for the next
? crazy thing is this is the second system in 150 hours or so And then that sets the stage for the next
rburrel2
Member
Hits all the big cities with snow up the east coast.. surface low track stays off the coast. I also don't hate the look of the 180hr ICON, definitely an improvement over the 12z run as far as sustaining the ridge out West.
Also interesting the jump the icon made from a cutter to much further south
For all of you young weather/snow enthusiasts, I highly recommend moving to Colorado before settling back in the Southeast. The snow is inevitable and the women are great?
I'm too old and I would miss the easy beach drive
Snowman63
Member
You’re in a good spot along with the Ozarks in Northern Arkansas for this storm.
Brent
Member
GFS and Euro actually agree here... On day 5!! Also the news earlier had a 60 percent chance of snow Tuesday which for this range is very bullish
Can anybody give me the eps and gfs ensembles snow matrix for Indianapolis Indiana and Fort Wayne Indiana..I’m going up there Tuesday to visit family and it seems like the storm might be a good hit there next week. If so it would be greatly appreciated.
Webberweather53
Meteorologist
No real huge surprises here. Even the temperature probabilities in the CONUS are very close to historical La Nina climatology (~70-75% chance of above average temps in La Nina Februarys over the Carolinas).
What small/unlikely chance we had of getting -NAO in week 2 to try & mute this La Nina pattern is dwindling away, likely because of wave reflection (in the stratosphere), as evidenced by a ridge anomaly near the NE Pacific + Alaska & a trough over the Baffin-Hudson Bay in the model trend plots.
What small/unlikely chance we had of getting -NAO in week 2 to try & mute this La Nina pattern is dwindling away, likely because of wave reflection (in the stratosphere), as evidenced by a ridge anomaly near the NE Pacific + Alaska & a trough over the Baffin-Hudson Bay in the model trend plots.
Nomanslandva
Member
Model charts for USA (Snow depth) | ECMWF IFS HRES 0z/12z (10 days)
ECMWF IFS HRES 0z/12z (10 days) - Current model charts of parameter "Snow depth" for map "USA"
weather.us
If you leave Model and Model run to Most Recent, you can go to Switch Members and tab through them. Decent free site to see individual members but lots of adds. You can zoom in to regions too. Oh yea, you can Change Parameter for other maps, but selection is limited.
NCSNOW
Member
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I'll wait through the weekend before calling in the punter. But the window of opportunity for the last week of January is closing. Outside some onset Ice Sun and again Wed for far NW NC as well as some upslope snow squalls on the backside of some lows that will occur over the next 10 days for East Tn/ NC mtn western slopes. There's nothing to hang the ole hat on.
Just ran the CFS out through Feb 19 and its gets uglier as time marches on. Gonna take a late winter/ spring storm to bail us out now from the looks of it. 1993 and 1960 as well as Feb 28,2004 and several other years give hope. Most of the big late winter snows happen at the end of non inspiring winters it seems.
Just ran the CFS out through Feb 19 and its gets uglier as time marches on. Gonna take a late winter/ spring storm to bail us out now from the looks of it. 1993 and 1960 as well as Feb 28,2004 and several other years give hope. Most of the big late winter snows happen at the end of non inspiring winters it seems.