iGRXY
Member
This has crazy boom potential if we can get something to work in our favor for once.
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Pattern Jammin January 2023
- Thread starter Goose88
- Start date
This has crazy boom potential if we can get something to work in our favor for once.
iGRXY
Member
A deep pool of cold air in the area and over top as well. This is the best shot, IMO until after Feb 15-20.
Can anyone tell if this feature over NC has any precipitation with it at hr 216?
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Not on pivotal... would think some flurries not out of the question but very dry at surface,
I'll take where we are tbh but I bet we come in too flat and it's a dry passage. It wouldn't take a lot to turn what the euro had into what the gfs had.Not on pivotal... would think some flurries not out of the question but very dry at surface,
There's some southern stream energy depicted on all three major models out at day ten where weenies can shape and hope for things to time up just right if it's still there in the coming days. (The CMC phased it out west, but it has the feature too.)
They really went out on a limb here
NCSNOW
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I do like how the Pac ridging is going up east of Alaska more toward the Cali/Can coast at Day 10 on the Euro Op. Further east the better. The GFS suite keeps it a notch to far west from Hawaii up to Alaska. Probably transient anyway.
JB latest
Now thats a stratwarm. close to 45 C rise over the pole at 10 mb Similar situation in 2021, but displaced 2 weeks earlier. Current colder pattern is likely to back away feb 5-15 as we go back into the dreaded phase 4/5 MJO but reload after
11:39 AM · Jan 19, 2023·
13.7K
Views
JB latest
Now thats a stratwarm. close to 45 C rise over the pole at 10 mb Similar situation in 2021, but displaced 2 weeks earlier. Current colder pattern is likely to back away feb 5-15 as we go back into the dreaded phase 4/5 MJO but reload after
11:39 AM · Jan 19, 2023·
13.7K
Views
All this looks like is a quick trough before quick retrogression to a -PNA, nothing to get excited over really other than some colder/drier days and a hindrance to some warmer/better days. That Aleutian ridge isn’t doing anything for us. Really Nothing to get excited over on models other than some northern stream driven flurries, we lost that slighty better look (more SWLY flow which would have suggested overrunning). I snore 
It’s apps runner city on the ensembles, lots of rain in our future.
-3 sigma -PNA will definitely get the job done for the southeastern US !!
As in a future southeast ridge
As in a future southeast ridge
Just like every other Nina year...
At this point,
?
I'd take warm or cold dry.
We've had way too much rain.
I'm not an anti rain guy but,
This is too much.
Jan 25-28’ish actually looks like it could be pretty good for TN/NC border counties
Beautiful day ahead on Sunday!! 
ATLwxfan
Member
How do they determine what normal is when we spend 75% of the time AN?
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Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk
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Normal (or average actually) temps are determined by an average of the past 3 decades of 10yr data sets. Currently using this span of time 1991-2020.
Think I have that correct but others here can confirm.