RI would reduce the small SE threat even more. Stronger members on the models have generally been further east.
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Tropical Hurricane Sam
- Thread starter SD
- Start date
RI would reduce the small SE threat even more. Stronger members on the models have generally been further east.
Shaggy
Member
icon coming in further south compared to 12z at 144hrs
Downeastnc
Member
last frame on the 00Z Icon
Downeastnc
Member
GFS still east at 00Z close call for Bermuda but it misses them 100 miles to the east.....
Brent
Member
Still think recurve is strongly favored unless theres some weird interaction like Sandy or something
Downeastnc
Member
The only thing I see is the speed differences....Euro is much slower with the system than the GFS.....12Z Euro had him here
the 00Z GFS at hr 228 has him here.....they are just a tad different.
Downeastnc
Member
Big shift east on the Euro.....should all but seal the deal on this not being a US threat...
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Brent
Member
Downeastnc
Member
Sam looks kinda meh right now, at least compared to where he was earlier this evening. Was thinking he might have been off to the races but if anything his core looks a little worse on microwave.....still there is little to stop him once he decides to go off.....
Downeastnc
Member
00Z Euro EPS
lexxnchloe
Member
excitement gone again.
Downeastnc
Member
GFS pretty solid Bermuda hit this run......
That’s pretty close still not gonna lie 
Henry2326
Member
Henry2326
Member
Time to let your guard down. This will be my last post for Hurricane Sam. 
Shaggy
Member
With the clustering of the ensembles it's pretty clear now he will recurve well east.
lexxnchloe
Member
Mr Bastardi hasnt given up on Sam and he is also concerned about Sideshow Bob
Sam could be Sam the BAM, not Sam the scram
Sam could be Sam the BAM, not Sam the scram
smast16
Member
lexxnchloe
Member
smast16
Member
Man is disillusioned if he thinks he should be a professor while posting Euro wind maps. Regardless if it bob from the Krusty Krab or Shamwow Salesman Sam.
He's trying to sound alarm bells while using 10m Euro wind GUSTS map.
Instead of 'Sideshow Sam", it should be named "Son of Sam".
12Z Euro shows again a harmless track for the SE US but maybe not so for the NE US!
Very close for the NE, in fact, looks to make LF around Lubec, ME!
Henry2326
Member
12z CMC.....that's a heck of a swing west.
Henry2326
Member
12z ICON....heading to the same solution as CMC??
Henry2326
Member
12z Euro.....not quite as west as CMC, yet.....but similarities.
Henry2326
Member
12z GFS.....splits.....we are 3-4 days before having some understanding of Sam's intentions.
Henry2326
Member
11 am NHC......statement of the season.
Henry2326
Member
Henry2326
Member
Shaggy
Member
Sam looks primed to pop an eye and take off tonight
lexxnchloe
Member
Mr Bastardi is very concerned about sideshow Bob and Sam the BAM.
Henry2326
Member
Oh Lord.....1938
lexxnchloe
Member
This is a big ticket item
Once the blood disappears .. Sam goes from CAT 1-2 to CAT 3-4 .. always the theme when we see the blob pop up on tropical systems
Henry2326
Member
Henry2326
Member
Expect a major tomorrow.
Raised the max winds to 140 mph.
States the Euro and GFS "remain at odds".
Raised the max winds to 140 mph.
States the Euro and GFS "remain at odds".
Henry2326
Member