Jessy89
Member
It’s not just sally it’s a front to. Both are playmakers between the front and sally will be heavy rain.
Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk
Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk
0z NAM sticking to its guns. A non event north of I-20 in the Carolinas. Some of upstate SC under .05 out of it. The slower movement right now says the NAM will be right about this track. I expect the Euro and GFS to go way south tonight or early tomorrow. If this does miss the next 2 weeks look dry so drought will become the big story north of I-20.
If anything they are inching north
I don’t think Euro or GFS has went south yet....
Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk
That's what I'm thinking as well. Let's see how it unfolds.3-5 inches for most of N GA is what I’m going with.
3-5 inches for most of N GA is what I’m going with.
CMC would be widespread severe for all Carolinas and heavy rain even into central Tennessee. Seems out to lunch...I’m favoring a sharp gradient across NC with very little up this way to 3” near Charlotte.
Haha I don't really get all the hand-wringing over the NAM all the time. Next to the JMA, it might be the worst model ever invented. I'll give it some credence when it it shows a warm nose, but that's about it.
Doesn’t the Euro/Nam typically overdo the wind threat inland?I don't think anybody has really touched on this, but there are some gusty winds well into the SE. View attachment 48642View attachment 48643
Good point, although even with the more bearish solutions, Alabama should get some good wind.Doesn’t the Euro/Nam typically overdo the wind threat inland?
Yes, the key is always to cut by 50%. It’s always overdone around here.Doesn’t the Euro/Nam typically overdo the wind threat inland?
That's just the first pass. Several more trimmings will need to be done to get the final numbers. ?Yes, the key is always to cut by 50%.
Even worse than Deep thunder, or DGEX?Haha I don't really get all the hand-wringing over the NAM all the time. Next to the JMA, it might be the worst model ever invented. I'll give it some credence when it it shows a warm nose, but that's about it.