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Tropical Hurricane Nate

Another look at the 00z Euro winds
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I feel that Nate can be strong enough for FFC to keep the TS watch, and if Nate's wind field expands east after landfall, and is more east at landfall, it will be upgraded to a TS warning.
 
NHC will probably shift track a little west at the 11am update , not based off the NAM. But the fact they are on the east side of guidance

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NHC will probably shift track a little west at the 11am update , not based off the NAM. But the fact they are on the east side of guidance

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Your prob right, unless it keeps it north movement now. If any shift west shouldn't be much
 
These west east shifts are small at this point

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I agree and it's all a moot point for sure. Either way it's a very lopsided storm and small one. But hope many get rain. We all need it
 
Take that back. Thankfully recon is out there. Ya NNW movement still. Eastern side looks very healthy. recon_AF305-0816A-NATE.png
 
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Looking healthy right now cloud top are impressive and should be strengthening little more now. Look as an eye is showing
 
These west east shifts are small at this point

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Charlie, you think my area and yours will see some great impact? Even if it hits west MS landfall?
 
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