Tropical Hurricane Nate

[PEA_RIDGE]

 

[weatherguy]

The outflow has really been streaming out strong over the past 30 or 40 min, the storms seem to really be feeding off the deep warm waters in at least a half orderly fashion.

 

[Xtreme Weather]

Interesting to see that the dry air (that was near the COC) is now being thrown out and the core is beginning to look better

 

[stormcentral]

850 winds impressive. Strong gust could make it down to the surface levels. In AL GA TN as the cyclone races northeast.

 

[Xtreme Weather]

The SW is out of the way all up to Nate as to what he want to do dry air moistened up and again that sw is over by MX and E TX now shear is not present either aloft

 

[Storm5]

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[PEA_RIDGE]

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thats not fun

 

[SD]

Maybe like a 12 mile SE shift on the 0z model consensus

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[Xtreme Weather]

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Noticing some nice cooling top burst around the COC ESP the Southern flank and E side if this can close off wrap around the entire eye it’s game on

 

[SD]

Noticing some nice cooling top burst around the COC ESP the Southern flank and E side if this can close off wrap around the entire eye it’s game on

Needs some work on the NE quadrant. This this is really motoring along too. It's crazy

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[Xtreme Weather]

Needs some work on the NE quadrant. This this is really motoring along too. It's crazy

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Yup just looking at the loop it’s tryng to wrap around though esp last 3 frames or so...this where the drier air had worked in today and give impression to some an eye was forming...

 

[ForsythSnow]

Very close to hurricane strength near the surface?

 

[Tarheel1]

Needs some work on the NE quadrant. This this is really motoring along too. It's crazy

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Saw the hurricane guy on TWC say, need to look for banding features to indicate strengthening, not pulse type blow ups at random locations.

 

[Xtreme Weather]

Saw the hurricane guy on TWC say, need to look for banding features to indicate strengthening, not pulse type blow ups at random locations.

He’s getting there outflow is looking much better as well
http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/goes/east/gmex/h5-mloop-rb.html

 

[SD]

Yup just looking at the loop it’s tryng to wrap around though esp last 3 frames or so...this where the drier air had worked in today and give impression to some an eye was forming...

Agree really looks like it's trying to get a cdo going but the fast movement makes me wonder where the center really is

Saw the hurricane guy on TWC say, need to look for banding features to indicate strengthening, not pulse type blow ups at random locations.

If you look at microwave imagery it's got a nice area on the western half and would probably have a nice band wrapping around the storm if it didn't eat so much dry air

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[deltadog03]

My guess if we see a hurricane it will prob be a bit east of the western track imo. Still think near mobile area. Give or take east or west I would say at this point 80 mph

 

[Storm5]

00z NAM landfall SE Louisiana

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[stormcentral]

Nam HR 19 976 MB approaching LA

 

[ForsythSnow]

Big convection explosion wrappingnl over the center now. Extremely cold clouds.

 

[Stormlover]

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TWC said there is now a 47% chance of it getting to 90, 31% chance of it getting to 100, 20% chance of 105, and 10% chance of 110