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Tropical Hurricane Nate

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We are under a TS Watch yet this is what it says:

WIND
- LATEST LOCAL FORECAST: Below tropical storm force wind
- Peak Wind Forecast: 20-30 mph with gusts to 50 mph
 
We are under a TS Watch yet this is what it says:

WIND
- LATEST LOCAL FORECAST: Below tropical storm force wind
- Peak Wind Forecast: 20-30 mph with gusts to 50 mph
This is the criteria for a TS Watch - "possible" is the key word:
Tropical Storm Watch: An announcement that tropical storm conditions (sustained winds of 39 to 73 mph) are possible within the specified coastal area within 48 hours.
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/watchwarn_changes.shtml
 
SUMMARY OF 700 PM CDT…0000 UTC…INFORMATION
———————————————-
LOCATION…21.4N 85.9W
ABOUT 90 MI…145 KM NE OF COZUMEL MEXICO
ABOUT 570 MI…915 KM SSE OF THE MOUTH OF THE MISSISSIPPI RIVER
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS…65 MPH…100 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT…NNW OR 340 DEGREES AT 22 MPH…35 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE…990 MB…29.23 INCHES

Little stronger per 7p advisory


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SUMMARY OF 700 PM CDT…0000 UTC…INFORMATION
———————————————-
LOCATION…21.4N 85.9W
ABOUT 90 MI…145 KM NE OF COZUMEL MEXICO
ABOUT 570 MI…915 KM SSE OF THE MOUTH OF THE MISSISSIPPI RIVER
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS…65 MPH…100 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT…NNW OR 340 DEGREES AT 22 MPH…35 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE…990 MB…29.23 INCHES

Little stronger per 7p advisory


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At that center position it's not going to landfall on the Yucatan

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Still seems lopsided per recon so I'm not seeing anything crazy happening

also may not be fully stacked and the fast motion will make it hard to really go off
 
Still seems lopsided per recon so I'm not seeing anything crazy happening

also may not be fully stacked and the fast motion will make it hard to really go off
It will be interesting to see what happens as it completes this slingshot around the east side of the upper low. Most models have some strengthening occurring after that happens and the storm slows

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It will be interesting to see what happens as it completes this slingshot around the east side of the upper low. Most models have some strengthening occurring after that happens and the storm slows

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if it were to slow down say to 5-10 mph i honestly believe that would be a bad situation. much more time in the bath water that the gulf has right now
 
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