JB said its still a threat to his forecast region, so it's still a threat ! 
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Tropical Hurricane Jose
- Thread starter Webberweather53
- Start date
That's significant... OBX still needs to watch this very closely imo
I see 12z GFS shifted ever so slightly east..... btw from NHC, pretty much shows you why Webb and I about the only one's interested in Jose Lol
ForsythSnow
Moderator
Lol, I'm still interested in watching the storm too. The GFS, even though east, seems still just as strong. A slight adjustment west with the ridge and we could see a Cape Cod area hit.I see 12z GFS shifted ever so slightly east..... btw from NHC, pretty much shows you why Webb and I about the only one's interested in Jose Lol
pcbjr
Member
Watch this and then guess the name of one other who might just be a little interested ...I see 12z GFS shifted ever so slightly east..... btw from NHC, pretty much shows you why Webb and I about the only one's interested in Jose Lol
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/archive/2017/IRMA_graphics.php?product=3day_cone_with_line
ForsythSnow
Moderator
12Z is actually a hair closer to Cape cod this run.
Lol I know, in fact, if the board wasn't storm warn out from Harvey and Irma we'd probably have to go live thread mode... and agreed any west jog brings Cape Cod in play but also the OBX with some high surf, beach erosion, rough seas to say the least
I hear ya Phil but rest assured Jose will not pose a threat to you at all....Watch this and then guess the name of one other who might just be a little interested ...
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/archive/2017/IRMA_graphics.php?product=3day_cone_with_line
edited for spelling... I hate doing that lol
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ForsythSnow
Moderator
If 96L becomes a threat, we will really be worn out. Glad Jose isn't going to be even a close call for us here in the SE.
OBX is the SE and still too early to say not a close call for them.... it's my favorite place on earth and I have many friends/family that either live there or have places there. But I get what your saying for the most part it's not a SE threat
ForsythSnow
Moderator
Here we go again, going south after having its escape to post tropical cut off. How likely even is it that something plays out this way?
Webb or someone who knows far more than I should weigh in on this but it appears to me if Jose interacts more with the trough and transitions to ET then it actually becomes a bigger threat to the ME or NE (tugged west, expanding wind field, etc.) but if it misses that as the GFS does then it's around for a while.
pcbjr
Member
I "know"; it's just I've heard that song a few times and the lyrics don't change ... LOL
Nomanslandva
Member
Have kids at school in eastern VA, I'm still watching!
Brent
Member
the UKMET has Jose passing within 50 miles of Cape Hatteras
what strength?
Brent
Member
941 mb
0000UTC 19.09.2017 108 32.7N 74.8W 947 73
1200UTC 19.09.2017 120 34.4N 74.8W 941 76
0000UTC 20.09.2017 132 36.6N 74.5W 942 74
0000UTC 19.09.2017 108 32.7N 74.8W 947 73
1200UTC 19.09.2017 120 34.4N 74.8W 941 76
0000UTC 20.09.2017 132 36.6N 74.5W 942 74
Crap but thanks
Getting too close for comfort, interested in what the Euro shows here in a bit...
Webberweather53
Meteorologist
Yeah, let's not forget we also have to go thru October and any threats that emerge out of the Caribbean, which has still been largely untouched this season thus far....