Shaggy
Member
This storm has been a beast when it comes to tornados.
No doubt but hard to blame them when local government was complacent as well. A voluntary evac and a late strengthening storm was a recipe for not taking it serious.From the number of cars in the area, might there have been just a tad bit of complacency? Doesn't look like anyone moved out of the area.
Yep....really worries me when/if a big one comes along....You know how it goes...."We did fine in the cat 1, cat 3 should be a piece of cake".No doubt but hard to blame them when local government was complacent as well. A voluntary evac and a late strengthening storm was a recipe for not taking it serious.
This and the fact the winter time trough was producing tornadoes with unusually high shear for August. After the first one in Western Virginia 2 days prior I knew down East was in for it once it interacted with the hurricane.Honestly you could tell the tornado threat was gonna be legit by the ridiculously high 3CAPE, along with a still somewhat weaker cane meaning low levels would turn a bit more
Is there any particular reason why the wind maps are always overdone ?Not a bad forecast, as it turned out. I haven't seen the wind maps, so I don't know how far west the big wind gusts got. And I think parts of Wake at least got close to 3-4" rain. But those cool wind maps are always way overdone. That's pretty much a lock every time. Like snow maps.
I really don't know, other than the fact that that the algorithm is bad. I don't know how they calculate it, but they are generally always way overdone...usually by half around here.Is there any particular reason why the wind maps are always overdone ?
Yesterday evening it was only 80 on my walk an I was thinking the same thingFeels lowkey like a September day
Hrrrs mixing bias don’t helpI really don't know, other than the fact that that the algorithm is bad. I don't know how they calculate it, but they are generally always way overdone...usually by half around here.
I don’t know how the model output for wind really works, but I wonder if it has to with how real landmasses have a lot of natural impediments to wind - trees, hills, etc.? I don’t know if that’s enough to make a difference, though. Are the wind field maps thus more accurate out in the ocean?Is there any particular reason why the wind maps are always overdone ?
Where does it seem to be worse??? Long Beach or Yaupon?Just drove around Oak Island. Looks like a war zone in the areas impacted by surge.
Oak Island during and shortly after landfall....
Let me tell you about the Euro snow maps!Is there any particular reason why the wind maps are always overdone ?
My dad had a huge 20 foot long pine branch cone out of one the trees along his back fence. Luckily it missed the shed. Was probably 10 inches in diameter.
Shaggy,
Your kid looks bored as all get out... ?
Where does it seem to be worse??? Long Beach or Yaupon?
Found this cool video of Jim Cantore in the eye wall yesterday.