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Tropical Hurricane Isaias

The tornado missed where my wife was but did a lot of damage in Courtland, VA. My wife said the house sounded like it was moaning and creaking when she heard the familiar train sound that lasted for five minutes. Her mom's house has a sunroom, and I guess the pressure made the door inside the house to the sunroom fling open when the tornado was going by.
 
I think this is a public post in Facebook, so you should be able to see the pics. Damage in Courtland, VA.

 
Honestly you could tell the tornado threat was gonna be legit by the ridiculously high 3CAPE, along with a still somewhat weaker cane meaning low levels would turn a bit more
 
Lost power at 3am got it back about a hr ago.....hear some chainsaws around the neighborhood and I smelled the pines and heard several trees come down, I think the forward speed kept this thing in check, 4-5 hrs of winds like we had at peak and there would be trees down all over and everyone without power, but it was maybe 2 hrs from the first gust to 40 to the last.....peak was maybe 55-65 mph, it got legit for about 30-45 mins, when the center was almost directly to my west 20 miles or so....and then it was over with winds tapering off to barely TS force again in gust....
 
From the number of cars in the area, might there have been just a tad bit of complacency? Doesn't look like anyone moved out of the area.
No doubt but hard to blame them when local government was complacent as well. A voluntary evac and a late strengthening storm was a recipe for not taking it serious.
 
No doubt but hard to blame them when local government was complacent as well. A voluntary evac and a late strengthening storm was a recipe for not taking it serious.
Yep....really worries me when/if a big one comes along....You know how it goes...."We did fine in the cat 1, cat 3 should be a piece of cake".
 
Honestly you could tell the tornado threat was gonna be legit by the ridiculously high 3CAPE, along with a still somewhat weaker cane meaning low levels would turn a bit more
This and the fact the winter time trough was producing tornadoes with unusually high shear for August. After the first one in Western Virginia 2 days prior I knew down East was in for it once it interacted with the hurricane.
 
Not a bad forecast, as it turned out. I haven't seen the wind maps, so I don't know how far west the big wind gusts got. And I think parts of Wake at least got close to 3-4" rain. But those cool wind maps are always way overdone. That's pretty much a lock every time. Like snow maps.
Is there any particular reason why the wind maps are always overdone ?
 
Took a few photos from the oceanfront at OKI.

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Is there any particular reason why the wind maps are always overdone ?
I really don't know, other than the fact that that the algorithm is bad. I don't know how they calculate it, but they are generally always way overdone...usually by half around here.
 
Is there any particular reason why the wind maps are always overdone ?
I don’t know how the model output for wind really works, but I wonder if it has to with how real landmasses have a lot of natural impediments to wind - trees, hills, etc.? I don’t know if that’s enough to make a difference, though. Are the wind field maps thus more accurate out in the ocean?
 
We’re fine, thanks for asking. I just did a screenshot:

View attachment 45936

The cleanup + damage estimate is $3K, which is not that bad considering how it could have been. Actually, it is just under my HO's deductible meaning no claim to be filed obviously. Had it been ~$5K, I still doubt I would have filed as it wouldn't have been worth it due to premium increases as well as it being a 2nd claim on the record within 4 years in addition to the hassle involved.
 
My 93 year old father rode out the storm at his home in Ocean Isle Beach. He said the lull when the eye passed over lasted about 30 minutes.
Water from the canal in front of his house rose 15 inches under the house into the garage. The only cleanup issue he is dealing with is from his neighbor's landscaping mulch that floated over onto his yard and patio. He felt fortunate that the eye passed over Ocean Isle considering what happened to the beaches further east.
 
Is there any particular reason why the wind maps are always overdone ?
Let me tell you about the Euro snow maps!
Spent a lot of time on Ocean Isle Beach, really enjoy my time there!
 
I was on the OBX for Matthew I think. I will never intentionally be in the path of a hurricane on the coast again. I made the mistake of believing the models showing it turn away from Hatteras. I woke up to 100 mph winds and water everywhere except under the house I was in. I was stranded there for a week, luckily the fish were biting.
 
Must say, never been to any beach up here but Sandbridge was absolutely amazing! Power is out everywhere here almost so a lot of major intersection crossings were dicey ! Also the road going through the back bay refuge down to sandbridge was flooded ! I’d never tried pushing my car through that much water before but screw it ! I made it.
 
The surge was very impressive yesterday

Downtown Wilmington upstream in the Cape Fear River was all time record even higher than Hazel

8.48 feet: The above-normal flood stage of the Cape Fear River at Wilmington around 6 a.m. Tuesday. The previous comparable record was 8.28 feet, set during Hurricane Florence on Sept. 14, 2018, according to National Weather Service data

Springmaid Pier Myrtle Beach


0906 PM STORM SURGE SPRINGMAID PIER 33.66N 78.92W
08/03/2020 AMZ254 SC NOS

SPRINGMAID PIER (MROS1) GAUGE REACHED 10.18 FEET MLWW
DURING HIGH TIDE, THIRD HIGHEST TIDE ON RECORD
 
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