Tropical Hurricane Helene

[Drizzle Snizzle]

I’ll be live streaming from coast. Leaving tomorrow night

Come pick me up and take me with you. I'll pay for hotel.

 

[SD]

Come pick me up and take me with you. I'll pay for hotel.

I heard @LickWx was looking for someone to go with too

 

[Drizzle Snizzle]

I heard @LickWx was looking for someone to go with too

I'm literally on the way since i'm in South GA.

 

[NCSNOW]

I’ll be live streaming from coast. Leaving tomorrow night

You have a link, Youtube?

 

[SD]

I'm literally on the way since i'm in South GA.

You might not have to leave

 

[NCSNOW]

Got tons of Family in Valdosta GA. Also right on Lake Chatuge which is on NC, GA line. Most worried about the mountain ones right now. They have drained the lake down supposedly. Absoloute Beatifull area if you ever get the chance. Caught the leaf out at its peak 2 years ago, riding back. Cant be beat.

 

[Henry2326]

Looks like a shift west to me.

 

[SnowwxAtl]

Looks like a shift west to me.

View attachment 151695

Yepppp...not good at all for ATL..getting worse with this track!

 

[Snow_chaser]

Yepppp...not good at all for ATL..getting worse with this track!

Where does this come from? I’m confused when all these posts showing models now going up east GA towards SC? Was it the Icon?

 

[Iceagewhereartthou]

My forecast says 6-8 inches through Fri night but I'm off to a heck of a start; 2.6 inches in about an hour a while ago!

 

[SnowwxAtl]

Where does this come from? I’m confused when all these posts showing models now going up east GA towards SC? Was it the Icon?

It is an average of all the models I think.

 

[DustinWx]

Well if I can get 50 of you to subscribe I can live stream - https://www.youtube.com/@Hurriwxhttps://www.youtube.com/@Hurriwx

 

[Ethan80963]

Where does this come from? I’m confused when all these posts showing models now going up east GA towards SC? Was it the Icon?

The graph shown above is the spaghetti plot thats on Tropical Tidbits of the hurricane models. The other ones you've likely seen going more east are in house models from local mets. I've seen many of them sharing their in house models which have had helene going farther east

 

[Arcc]

Where does this come from? I’m confused when all these posts showing models now going up east GA towards SC? Was it the Icon?

These are the actual hurricane models and honestly when they are bunched like that, they are good.

Still think they need to return the GFDL.

 

[DustinWx]

Stupid rules. I’ve used Facebook or TikTok before but I’d rather use YouTube

 

[Chazwin]

I know it’s just for fun, but I’m not sure I’ve ever seen the 3km NAM go below 885mb before. Wonder if there’s some theoretical max programmed in. Apparently not.

I think it went to 882mb 24 hours before Michael made landfall. That ended up being 918mb. So yeah it’s definitely overdone, but even if you add 40mb it’s still high end cat 4

 

[ForsythSnow]

Where does this come from? I’m confused when all these posts showing models now going up east GA towards SC? Was it the Icon?

Too many icon and HAFS A postings skew the reality all models have been coming west slowly that we're east. I'm expecting the brunt of the storm here or N GA between the training storms and the gusts as the eye approaches its going to be rough.

 

[severestorm]

I think it went to 882mb 24 hours before made landfall. That ended up being 918mb. So yeah it’s definitely overdone, but even if you add 40mb it’s still high end cat 4

Wasn't Michael more compact than this system?

 

[Wild Weather Monger]

Well if I can get 50 of you to subscribe I can live stream - https://www.youtube.com/@Hurriwxhttps://www.youtube.com/@Hurriwx

Done

 

[Nerman]

Looks like a shift west to me.

View attachment 151695

That is definitely West. I didn't see that coming. Euro, GFS and hurricane models still had it splitting GA at 18z.