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Tropical Hurricane Dorian
- Thread starter Metwannabe
- Start date
Brent
Member
Yeah i really didn't believe the stall would be so long honestly
Nomanslandva
Member
ICON is west of prior run after about hour 54. East Earlier. So the recurve is less sharp and maybe how close to FL early has no real influence on OBX impacts later?
Downeastnc
Member
ICON still right over Emerald Isle into the Pamlico Sound...it has hurricane force gust coming onshore between SAV and Charleston and all the way up the SC coastal areas as well....
SC coast....not really familiar with how those places do in this setup though but I would think at least the immediate coast would see some big gust
SC coast....not really familiar with how those places do in this setup though but I would think at least the immediate coast would see some big gust
Notice in the bottom image and most current that the WAR is building west, should get some movement later tonight or in the morning, finally
Cary_Snow95
Member
Trough on gfs continues to trend weaker
Ever so slight but it is a little flatter, subtle changes at H5 can make all the difference in the world with sensible weather
Downeastnc
Member
GFS looks like landfall at ILM hr 69 second landfall MHX HR 75, pretty much same as last run
Trough weaker, more ridging over top, results touch slower and little closer to SC coast.... not moving NE yet either.
Might slam Wilmington this run
Sent from my SM-G950U using Tapatalk
Might slam Wilmington this run
Sent from my SM-G950U using Tapatalk
Cary_Snow95
Member
Looks like it just misses but it was close
Cary_Snow95
Member
WAR is trending stronger with each run
what a crazy storm,
I don't remember a hurricane doing this for almost 24 hours now.
I don't remember a hurricane doing this for almost 24 hours now.
Downeastnc
Member
Nope at least one legit landfall, ILM is close depends on how big the center is....but yeah it cant get any closer to a miss than that....
EYE IS TIGHTENING UP
THIS IS FROM 0127Z
THIS IS 0352Z
THIS IS FROM 0127Z
THIS IS 0352Z
Downeastnc
Member
Wonder what the NHC is going to do intensity wise, not finding much more than Cat 1/2 winds at the surface.....they have it at 130 mph plane finding 85knts at surface in eyewall....
Current steering. Had to change levels since recon says we have a 950mb hurricane
If ridge continues to build could this thing be push west.
Brent
Member
like I was noting earlier, it seems like the weaker solutions are more west so it makes you wonder especially given the significant weakening that has happened today
the only thing I'm pretty sure if is it won't make the Gulf lol, anything else is still fair game
Stormsfury
Member
Winds along the coast would be absolutely brutal. Winds back into Berkeley and Dorchester Counties would have some reduction but not a whole hell of a lot. That's a very grim output from the Icon