Stormsfury
Member
Looks like a tight loop is occurring like a spinning topLooks like it wobbled west some
Looks like a tight loop is occurring like a spinning topLooks like it wobbled west some
I see....wonder if the ERC is done....If nothing else, looking at the GOES-East - Sector view: Caribbean - GeoColor, he sure looks to be cleaning out an eye ...
Here is a response to the 2nd trough....Well what I saw in local weather here (Brad Nitz WSB TV) was him discussing that the "second" trough currently near Montana would be the one to definitively pick up Dorian and keep it off the GA/SC/NC Coasts, and that if Dorian did not start the NNW Movment in some 24 hours it would make a large difference in keeping it OTS,.. It was first I had heard that (second trough) stated anywhere
Here is a response to the 2nd trough....
Anything to get that Son of a Biscuit Eater (SOB for those of you in Boston) outa here and to get on to Fall ...Yep that was it... Open for thoughts....
What concerns me is that these sorts of things tend to "weaken" the storm but make it grow ... "weakening" a Cat 4 or 3 but growing it to a (much?) larger Cat 2 or 3 is a bit, shall we say, disconcerting. No official discussion on this, just years of watching and sharing a thought ...
What concerns me is that these sorts of things tend to "weaken" the storm but make it grow ... "weakening" a Cat 4 or 3 but growing it to a (much?) larger Cat 2 or 3 is a bit, shall we say, disconcerting. No official discussion on this, just years of watching and sharing a thought ...
Per our PM this AM ... until he is east of me moving north, no guard is down here ... storms do very strange things ...Levi's concern is that the weakening from the cooler SSTs will allow for the mean steering layer to drop down. Thus, the relevant steering flow map could look much different and have more of a westerly component and this threaten an actual landfall FL. The good news is that so far the storm is still not moving back toward FL...so far.
Looks like it's getting its mojo back....
Yup ... another night of watchin'?Looks like it's getting its mojo back....
Levi's concern is that the weakening from the cooler SSTs will allow for the mean steering layer to drop down. Thus, the relevant steering flow map could look much different and have more of a westerly component and this threaten an actual landfall FL. The good news is that so far the storm is still not moving back toward FL...so far.
Yes, but in the fear of inadvertently looking like a wish-caster, I defer ...Is it possible Dorian stalls longer or creeps and misses the trough?
It should weaken from here on out but it's going to be tracking over some of the warmest waters yet.
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