BHS1975
Member
Look how far north the 0c 850 line is. Where getting crazy weather like this all the time now.
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If this is your argument for GW then I call bs on GW because it got down to 20 at my house this morning.Look how far north the 0c 850 line is. Where getting crazy weather like this all the time now.
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It is not bs... yeah u going have a day below freezing here n there... look at all the glacier melt... average temps keep going up... never get any sustained cold hardly like winters 60s and 70s. Even 80sIf this is your argument for GW then I call bs on GW because it got down to 20 at my house this morning.
My point was, if your argument for GW is a NAM 850 temp map then my low of 20 is argument against....It is not bs... yeah u going have a day below freezing here n there... look at all the glacier melt... average temps keep going up... never get any sustained cold hardly like winters 60s and 70s. Even 80s
Yep, that's a good point.My point was, if your argument for GW is a NAM 850 temp map then my low of 20 is argument against....
What a cluster f**k looking pattern though.Look at these 850’s at the pole..That’s crazy cold..and it all stems from the pole. Arctic sea ice is about to go gangbusters. Healthy PV to end the old year and start the new View attachment 28640
Yep, that's a good point.
What a cluster f**k looking pattern though.
Weather =/= climate change!!!!!!!!It wasn’t just making an observation.
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Weather =/= climate change!!!!!!!!
Weather can be affected by it, but that's the same argument so many try and make. There is correlation, NOT causation!!! This is a bad pattern and using the US as a sample size on top of it being a short term pattern to try and discuss a global thing is like trying to prove the sky is red because you held a red-colored piece of plastic on your face.
I never said it did. I was just making an observation of warmth in the upper levels made more likely by AGW.
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The warmth in the upper levels is due to the blocking configuration which evacuates the cold air to the other side of the Northern Hemisphere, not due to GW specifically. Here’s a better way to look at it.
View attachment 28677
It can’t be cold everywhere at the same time and that’s a hard concept to grasp. Arctic ice is forecasted to be on the move in the coming weeksThe warmth in the upper levels is due to the blocking configuration which evacuates the cold air to the other side of the Northern Hemisphere, not due to GW specifically. Here’s a better way to look at it.
View attachment 28677
In case you and others didn't know: "The linear correlation coefficient analysis shows that there exists a high significant positive
correlation (+0.82) between global 500 hpa geopotential height and global warming (global mean surface air temperature)."
From: https://www.scirp.org/pdf/ACS_2014070914195962.pdf
BHS post was taking a random warm day and saying “this doesn’t usually happen and AGW is real and we’re all gonna die” as a proof for his position. That would be the same as a person taking a brutal cold shot and saying global cooling is happening, it’s just not a good argument to use no matter which side a person stands on in the debate.
Have you read the paper you linked? I’ve never heard of that author before but wow it is fraught with serious grammatical errors that make it incredibly difficult to understand what they’re trying to say at times or simply worded incredibly odd. Not sure if it’s a language barrier/translation issue or what but here are a few examples of what I mean below.
“The extreme weather phenomena had been recorded over the globe and became more frequent through the last decades. The stability conditions like as, blocking systems, fluctuations in precipitation and temperature, strong and extreme frequency of hurricanes, heat waves, droughts, flash floods, extreme weather events and global warming through the year.”
“One can conclude that the global warming causes extremely increasing anomaly of global annual geopotential height. So that the stability conditions over the globe was changed through the last three decades and extreme weather phenomena existed.”
A much better paper imo is this one here which makes a similar analysis but doesn’t have the weird grammatical/language issues.
I mean it’s common sense really. You warm the planet the atmosphere puffs up raising heights. And as far as that snarky comment yes we would die if nuclear war and conventional war is more likely due to destabilization and tropical diseases carried by mosquitos move north and more heatstroke/hypothermia etc etc. Of course these risks can be drastically reduced by halting emissions.
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