blueheronNC
Member
It'll trend northwest and be a Virginia 2-5" thing.
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Misc General Banter Thread
- Thread starter Rain Cold
- Start date
Bigedd09
Member
Getting burned by the southwest trend? Oh wait that’s actually a thing?
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Bigedd09
Member
Last week every model was trending to the drier google model. Now every model is trending the complete opposite of the google model
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jay.p
Member
Not sure which model ABC11 is leaning towards but they seem to be bullish on higher amounts along I-95 including Raleigh despite the dry slot trends this morning
You know this begs the question of do meteorologist still generate forecast using manual calculations and logic. Or is everything from models. So basically, do they look at all the models and say the models don't have a clue and the low is going to form closer to the coast, etc....
About to pick the kids up from daycare and head north bound to the Smokies! Like a kid on Christmas!
BrickTamland
Member
Looks a lot like what RAH is saying now, too.
Perfect timing to wreck my flight to Nashville next Thursday, so it'll probably happen!
It's for my bachelor party, so I would strongly prefer that not happen, LOL.
ducketta27
Member
Frustrating, really wanted that west trend to continue to get CSRA and ATL involved.
Bigedd09
Member
Not sure if I’ve ever lost a stork to a southwest trend. Keep finding ways!
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ducketta27
Member
This will probably continue ticking east until go time now.
rburrel2
Member
This what you want to see 54hrs out on the Euro if you live in the upstate. Cha-ching!
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Never too high, never too low
rburrel2
Member
I've lived around Clemson, SC my whole life and I'm 40 years old. I have never measured 6 inches in my backyard and I haven't missed a single event. (not counting January88 when I was 3 years old.)
It probably won't happen here on Saturday either, but there's at least a chance.
It probably won't happen here on Saturday either, but there's at least a chance.
This is what I like to see, in general, is things like this:
WolfpackHomer91
Member
Gross….. it’s about 70 miles too far South. Climo eventually should correct this over the next 30hrs imo
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Drizzle Snizzle
Member
Upstate SC didn’t get 6” in the 1993 blizzard ?
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If the euro is for me, no weapon shall be formed against me
rburrel2
Member
@Jimmy Hypocracy That Euro/Graf combo is 
The best character from a great show, LOL (although it started to get a little too over the top in the last couple seasons).If the euro is for me, no weapon shall be formed against me
modeling really said, hey sorry for advertising foot+ snows last week then shifting north right after you began to make noise thus disappointing everyone. as a consolation we are going to give you the hardest nightmare forecast of your life. thank you for your attention to this matter!
rburrel2
Member
Nope, at the time I was living in Walhalla, SC and we 100% did not even come close to 6 inches(lee-side warm bubble). Clemson may have been close(I doubt they got 6 though).
Heelyes
Member
uuuuutterly horrified. looking for the failure. preparing to be crushed spiritually forever. i haven't had 6-8" in a forecast since dec 2018 (i was in school for jan '22)
coldspringsfarm
Member
I personally feel pretty good about the CSRA, but I am thinking in terms of 2-3" that sticks around for several days as a success. Even with model oscillations, it has not been hard to find 2"+ totals for the Augusta area over the last 2 days of model runs.
Every time I read, “If it would only shift X miles in Y direction” and that shift would mean less snow for me, I take it personal even though I don’t know any of you and I know you have no power of the weather. 
rburrel2
Member
What’s scary… and I know it won’t happen… but if the 3km NAM had the exact same 5h output as the euro? It would be spitting out 12-18 inch totals at minimum across the upstate.
my brother, I can’t get off my phone long enough to get anything done today
And until I find the ceiling, I’m not sure I will
you want the ultra mega nuke whale super duper ceiling? i bet it is -possible- but extreeeemely extremely implausible that somebody manages 0.8"+ QPF and averages 15 to 1 ratios
WolfpackHomer91
Member
I knew this would happen…. Mets predicted Death by ICE last weekend and dumbasses that don’t understand the difference or why sleet won are already saying “Yep ok sure buddy” when I sent them the literal NWS GSP forecast “Those guys are never right I will send you a picture Sunday when it’s dry out…. Not falling for this one again” I knew it, I knew it, I knew it. Last week would ruin people’s opinions for good
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Iceagewhereartthou
Member
There are many microclimates here in the upstate. GSP got like 9.8 inches from 1993; I got about 8-10 (hard to measure) in Dacusville at the time. Eastern Oconee and much of Pickens County is in a warm/dry slot; which has been very pronounced in most of the snow maps for this storm. Clemson might get 2-3 inches and Greenville and East might get multiple times that. Happens all the time. Western upstate completely skipped by Jan 2000 and Feb 04; Eastern upstate got dumped on. Western upstate being closer to the mountains and higher elevation only help when it is an overrunning system; hurts most of the rest of the time. I'm probably only 20 miles East of burrell and got 8 inches from both 2011 and 2022, whereas he didn't get six.
Asking in banter, would someone mind posting the wxbell 12z ecmwf kuchera with Georgia visible? Looks to have been another solid hit for nga.
CraggyRider
Member
Don't do it manPerfect timing to wreck my flight to Nashville next Thursday, so it'll probably happen!
It's for my bachelor party, so I would strongly prefer that not happen, LOL.
I kid, I kid, hope you have a blast in Nashville
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Roads have been re-brined in Durham. At this point they may just fall off the bone because tendernism.
WE AINT DONE
Wow. NWS GSP bumped their totals up
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Oconeexman
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Dude this is the one! if we hold these qpf amounts steady overnight and get some increases tomorrow on short range modeling youll be hard to handle...and im here for it! You and IGr and jimmy represent us well!
you better do your snow dance tonight, i know i will be. we have to bring this home for the bull city.
Oconeexman
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NW upstate did not...was the ultimate screw job for Oconee and Pickens counties! Still have a bad taste in my mouth
