I wish I had the wishcast powers others do
Problem is that the warmer / more amped solutions are what would cause this to be disastrous / historically damaging in central NC. This won't warm up all the way to cold rain up this way.
You couldn’t draw a worse map if you tried.
Someone needs to do an intervention with him at this point. The guy has lost it to AI addiction.
Bad in an icy way?
You know you're gonna be the snow winner on the board, I see that big ole grin
lol
You know you're gonna be the snow winner on the board, I see that big ole grin
Slightly N from 6z but slightly south of 00z
I’m confused at this graphic. Not even a 5% in Atlanta? Are they looking at the same models as us? lolSurprised N Ms, areas of N Al…etc is not in the major impact areas, at least 5%. All that freezing rain and sleet showing up seems like it would at least put us in the 5% range.
Yea I was very confused, not even 5%, I would almost think freezing rain and sleet would be more of an impact that just snow.
Yea not sure where the idea that AI models are infallible is coming from, they whiffed pretty big on qpf last week inside 72hrs
AI models are a tool in the toolbox....but they have proven to suck just as bad as others at certain things. I don't think there is a single model that should be preferred over another with the handling of the Baja low interaction with the northern stream....its going to become a lot more clear in the next 36 hours, but it will still become a nowcasting event with that feature out west before we have anything set in stone.
Yeah if I was to choose an area where snow would be the greatest I would say Farmville to Richmond, still too early of course for specifics but that is with current modeling and trends
Facts! Unless you are Big Frosty or in interior Va, you will have an old fashioned dirty SE winter storm.
In regards to significant winter impacts, I completely agree.
Great post! Indeed, 1” of ZR would be bad enough. That hasn’t happened at ATL since 2/12/2014 and that was only from Hartsfield S and mainly E. (That’s the one that killed the Eisenhower tree at Augusta National). Other than the terrible 1/1973 icestorm, the last I could find giving ATL 2”+ was the devastating ~2” icestorm of 12/28-29/1935. Temps did drop into the 20s for part of that and probably as cold as mid 20s for the coldest, similar to the 12Z Euro. I read ATL news articles on this 30 years ago at the downtown library. It was horrible.
