strongwxnc
Member
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Freezing Rain, Sleet, Snow, Rain...Kitchen Sink (12/15-16)
- Thread starter Blue_Ridge_Escarpment
- Start date
iGRXY
Member
15 minutes up the road from here. I've been stuck at 32/32 since 4 am. Had the lightest of glazes on the trashcan. If those clouds had rolled in 3-4 hours later than they did this would have gotten severe quickly. I dropped to 40 at 6:30 and held there until the moisture came in.
tazaroo
Member
I don't understand why this setup has been such a bust for most of us. We had pretty close to a classic CAD setup with strong HP pretty anchored and in a good position, yet the NE winds last night were anemic and did not do the job. I've seen much worse insitu CAD setups with fleeting HP and weker perform better.
Did something disrupt the NE flow or was the air North of us just not cold enough?
Did something disrupt the NE flow or was the air North of us just not cold enough?
Jon
Member
What was a major fail? This was expected. Or are you saying this just sucks so it’s a fail? Lol
Webberweather53
Meteorologist
Avalanche
Member
norcarolinian
Member
Still 31° with light freezing rain
Blue_Ridge_Escarpment
Member
Just a solid rule of thumb especially in freezing rain events. Take the ice accum map and shift it a county to your NW and that is usually a bit more accurate.
Having a hard time seeing the road! 
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Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk
Jessy89
Member
Never got below 35 here. But cold rain is all I was expecting anyway.
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Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk
Webberweather53
Meteorologist
Having a hard time seeing the road!
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Oh wow! How much ice would you say you've got there? 0.1" ish?
iGRXY
Member
Speaking for my area, the clouds rolled in around 6-7pm and held our temperatures rock steady at 39-43 degrees in Spartanburg county. Technically the CAD did work here as I held at DP of 28 even after the rain started falling and that helped me drop to 32. Spartanburg has been stuck between 33-34 degrees. If those clouds had not rolled in until around 10 pm, we likely would have bottomed out somewhere between 29-33 degrees from the north to the south in the county. Just 15 minutes up the road got .3 of ice accretion right as you enter the mountains. So we were just that close to a major ice storm.
SouthGarnerSleet
Member
As a resident of Southern Wake County, NC... I like to consider myself an expert when it comes to warm noses. I have given myself title, King of the sleet and protector of the snow dome. Anyone else south of 64 in Wake county, know what I am talking about.
That said.....
My Uncle, Aunt, Cousins live in Jersey City... they are all VERY excited and expecting 9-14inches of the white stuff tonight. *HARD PAUSE and exhales deeply* ..... I cannot help but look at these HRRR/NAM3k runs and peak at the temps aloft and cringe.
Maybe I have just have a scar that will never heal. But when I hear the words "warm" and "nose" are even in the question, I lose ALL hope.
The snow weenie in me is rooting for them. My brain, pessimistic attitude with a glass half empty mindset says, prepare for the bust.
That said.....
My Uncle, Aunt, Cousins live in Jersey City... they are all VERY excited and expecting 9-14inches of the white stuff tonight. *HARD PAUSE and exhales deeply* ..... I cannot help but look at these HRRR/NAM3k runs and peak at the temps aloft and cringe.
Maybe I have just have a scar that will never heal. But when I hear the words "warm" and "nose" are even in the question, I lose ALL hope.
The snow weenie in me is rooting for them. My brain, pessimistic attitude with a glass half empty mindset says, prepare for the bust.
Avalanche
Member
Minimal. Sometimes waa can shift airmasses 2 + states.
Yes, that’s about right. Trees metal surfaces mainly! 31.4/30
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I was thinking I might get a slight glaze out my way, TBH. Plus it seems to be failing some in areas to our west, like Burlington was definitely supposed to get some light ice accrual. My county is under a WWA and all I got was a few sleet pellets and lots of rain. But yeah mainly just saying this sucks, haha.
Jon
Member
No need to defend, not saying he did anything wrong or trying to call him out, just asking.
Ice maps are almost as bad as snow maps with borderline temp events. A lot of the soundings showed sleet/rain profiles but output freezing rain. Some were all rain when ground temps were raised 1-2°...hard to trust those things with the biased output. Might as well look at soundings and QPF.
Yeah, and Durham County was under a Winter Weather Advisory now, as well. But as far as I can tell there was no ZR anywhere in the county aside from the few sleet pellets last night.
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Jon
Member
I gotcha. Yeah I mean it’s hard to call it a fail if you’re calling for a glaze and it doesn’t work out, especially with the borderline soundings and dry slot/rain to end the event..it would be almost impossible to measure that accrual. So in a sense it was set up to fail.