Freezing Rain, Sleet, Snow, Rain...Kitchen Sink (12/15-16)

[iGRXY]

NAM, HRRR, 3K Nam, and the RGEM are anywhere from 4-7 degrees too warm with DPs currently.

 

[iGRXY]

I’m currently sitting at at DP of 27 and a NNE wind at 10mph.

 

[Clem282340]

View attachment 57877

Where you get this map at

 

[RVD]

Wait, were there flurries in the area this morning? Just saw that KBUY reported light snow around 2am and again at 9am.

 

[BirdManDoomW]

Closing roads down northern Wilkes

 

[SD]

Where you get this map at

Radar omega

 

[Webberweather53]

NAM, HRRR, 3K Nam, and the RGEM are anywhere from 4-7 degrees too warm with DPs currently.

Area-wide when you compare the 18z mesoanalysis obs w/ the 3km NAM, they're not too far off overall, dews definitely look lower than forecast over north-central Virginia with widespread reports of near 20-upper 10s, while the NAM forecast mid 20s. Will have to see if those can be advected southwestward into the Carolinas later today & tonight.

 

[Webberweather53]

Current wet bulb temps. Definitely a map to watch over the coming hours esp in the western piedmont. Still hanging in the upper 30s atm but once we lose solar insolation from the day and as the CAD builds in, these should really drop over the evening & nighttime hours.

 

[Avalanche]

My doubts are really sinking in. Warm sunny day all object soaking in the heat, and a cloud deck tonight to secure it in. That HP will have to do some serious work.

 

[Avalanche]

Current wet bulb temps. Definitely a map to watch over the coming hours esp in the western piedmont. Still hanging in the upper 30s atm but once we lose solar insolation from the day and as the CAD builds in, these should really drop over the evening & nighttime hours.

View attachment 57892

Hope thats the case for those wanting winter weather.

 

[POWERSTROKE]

My doubts are really sinking in. Warm sunny day all object soaking in the heat, and a cloud deck tonight to secure it in. That HP will have to do some serious work.

Agree, road temps pretty warm

 

[Webberweather53]

Euro's cold air damming high looks too strong near initialization on the 12z run from this morning. Not seeing any obs of sfc pressures above 1033 over Ontario & the MSLP contours are too far south along the US east coast.

 

[Webberweather53]

Agree, road temps pretty warm

Road temps don't matter for bridges and overpasses where most of the issues usually are in ice storms travel-wise.

 

[Avalanche]

Euro's cold air damming high looks too strong near initialization on the 12z run from this morning. Not seeing any obs of sfc pressures above 1033 over Ontario & the MSLP contours are too far south along the US east coast.

View attachment 57899

Urgh. We need every ounce of a dominant HP.

 

[Rosie]

Wow, Winter Weather Advisory!

 

[Myfrotho704_]

Will the HRRR ever be useful for damming events

 

[kstrickland0823]

Us Chatham Co. folk are more desperate. If its frozen, we'll take it.

Amen to that! I’m in southern Chatham! I just keep praying this “freezing rain” comes on down a bit further! I mean I prefer snow/sleet but we rarely get anything so I’ll take the freezing rain!

 

[SimeonNC]

Will the HRRR ever be useful for damming events View attachment 57900View attachment 57901

Interesting that it keeps showing sleet instead of ZR

 

[SimeonNC]

If the HRRR is even a little bit right, looks like my call map is gonna be more accurate than I thought it would be lol

 

[Webberweather53]

18z 3km NAM even warmer w/ higher dews thus far thru 14 hr.