Here’s the more ideal benchmark for the SE, you want a TPV over the lakes instead of Canada, this increases the cold press at the surface/aloft and counteracts more extreme WAA which leads to more icing/rain (the scenarios were seeing now), it would also help if the TPV moved south a little bit in tandem with with S/W
Next up you want a solid western ridge so you can get your S/W trough to dig and not become a sheared shitshow, with the strength of the TPV, if it does trend south, our S/W could get sheared, It’s a outside possibility, but yep, western ridge for digging and that boots the TPV east anyways
And last but not least you want a little bit of southeast ridging, not a crazy amount.
, but enough to give you WAA aloft that produces precipitation, would be nice if we could have a TPV location like that map but a decently amped up suppressed SER for big amounts of moisture