Broken024
Member
Lol
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Pattern Flaming Feb 2021
- Thread starter SD
- Start date
JLL1973
Member
anyone have a ice map of the midsouth area?
BelmontWX79
Member
Well at least the 18Z GEFS is very similar with the 12Z run so far through thru 138hrs.
Jrips2710
Member
Printing out CMC numbers ? that’s some cold air folks
Happy Valentines Day
Happy Valentines Day
Downeastnc
Member
This kind of cold on the heels of that kind of rain would piss me off sooooooo much lol......yesterday's 18Z GFS was a love letter tonight its a big **** U......
Broken024
Member
Just need to wait for the next one ?
So the best model suite out there depicts a major winter storm along with some bitterly cold means.
But we’re sweating the GFS? The worst scoring model? The model that would be eating paste in the back of the class?
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But we’re sweating the GFS? The worst scoring model? The model that would be eating paste in the back of the class?
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Jrips2710
Member
Haha neither Birmingham nor Atlanta gets out of the teens on 2/14. RDU barely breaks 10??
Cary_Snow95
Member
That gfs run was an improvement imo. Pacific looked way better and gfs is still drastically changing the pieces pin wheeling around with the tpv. If you go run to run you can see the gfs emphasize random pieces of energy and the pacific just jumps around lol. Not sweating it yet. Until we get closer and these pieces of energy are sampled we have no clue how they interact with the tpv
StormStalker
Member
18z GFS looks a lot like February 1994 for NW Alabama.
Right on time to flash freeze my 3.5 inches of rain. Weather rocks.
SWVAwxfan
Member
-19 for my area? Oh hell no.
The pacific is better on the GEFS yet the weaker TPV in AK screws us Because of its location 
SWVAwxfan
Member
Highs?
SWVAwxfan
Member
Talk about a cold bleep Valentines day. Somehow, Columbia only manages 17.
Jrips2710
Member
HSVweather
Member
I’ll never forgot that one. No power for a week, watched pine trees falling and burning on power lines out the back of the house. I lived on the state line back then.
Just a little delayed again ?
I really wish I had saved more operational GFS runs over the years so that I could see what it showed at various timeframes leading up to winter storms... I really think it would be eye opening of just how off it’s been before. Some of the last 10 years I can remember a little... for example with the Christmas 2010 storm after actually picking up on that storm during the 8-10 day, it turned it into a cutter, then brought it back to a big storm for western and central NC during the 4-5 day, then squashed to miss us east during the 2-4 day before finally ending up fairly close to what actually verified the day before. I don’t bring that to say that this run is definitely not going to be reality, but to bring that a lot folks get wound up about this model that over the years is just plain out horrible in this timeframe
cd2play
Member
Now shows an ice storm for TN... Hopefully the NW trend stops.... don't want another rain event.