Pattern Flaming Feb 2021

[deltadog03]

It was a whacky looking run for sure. To be honest I did see some good trends tho and some bad. Better than gfs for sure. My area gets shut out this run but whatever. Lol. Glad there is still something showing up.

 

[Myfrotho704_]

The euro at 12z (not 00z) has been consistent on vortex location the last 3 days

 

[Darklordsuperstorm]

This is insane.
View attachment 71191

?out

 

[FallsLake]

At least it will be nice and pleasant after the ice knocks out all the power:

 

[Myfrotho704_]

It’s like every day the models come up with some sort of different evolution, it’s super irritating, I know models aren’t suppose to do well at that range but it seems like it’s sticking around that range forever, not moving, constantly throwing different looks at us, let’s see what the EPS does

 

[Webberweather53]

Today's ECMWF run shows a lot of ice without there being much of a CAD in place in the Carolinas. It's something that's not as frequently associated with ice at least around here but it can happen from time to time. Verbatim the 12z ECMWF is the kind of setup you'd see in the southern plains when they get large ice storms.

 

[BelmontWX79]

It’s like every day the models come up with some sort of different evolution, it’s super irritating, I know models aren’t suppose to do well at that range but it seems like it’s sticking around that range forever, not moving, constantly throwing different looks at us, let’s see what the EPS does

The fact we have a a lot of interactions between blocking and multiple tpv's will only make this worse. At this point expect changes with every run.

 

[Cary_Snow95]

Overall this euro run just further shows how fluid this will be. Multiple ways to get wintry weather. We have multiple scenarios here and we will continue to swing wildly based on the speed of the front

 

[Webberweather53]

Another TPV is dropping into SE Canada on the Euro here by day 10.

 

[Myfrotho704_]

 

[Jessy89]

Our cold keeps getting delayed to day 10. That’s a real issue


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[Webberweather53]

Our cold keeps getting delayed to day 10. That’s a real issue


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Today's EPS looks like it has improved by day 6-7, dropping the TPV a little further south in the northern plains and the wave near Atlantic Canada is deeper = suppressed SE ridge

 

[Brick Tamland]

The models have definitely gone the wrong direction today. We've gone from a huge snow storm on all the globals to either rain or less snow and more ice in less than 24 hours.

 

[Myfrotho704_]

EPS looks better, more +PNA

 

[Myfrotho704_]

The models have definitely gone the wrong direction today. We've gone from a huge snow storm on all the globals to either rain or less snow and more ice in less than 24 hours.

They haven’t really trended worse, but into more disagreement, which is expected

 

[Brick Tamland]

They haven’t really trended worse, but into more disagreement, which is expected

They all showed a big snow storm yesterday. They are not showing that today. It's either cold rain or more ice and less snow. That's worse to most folks.

 

[Webberweather53]

They haven’t really trended worse, but into more disagreement, which is expected

To be quite honest, almost every model except the GEFS & GFS have trended better today. Certainly makes you wonder

 

[accu35]

The models have definitely gone the wrong direction today. We've gone from a huge snow storm on all the globals to either rain or less snow and more ice in less than 24 hours.

Gone wrong direction for you but in a right direction for us deep south folks

 

[Storm5]

Our cold keeps getting delayed to day 10. That’s a real issue


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Not for us in the west . Every backyard for itself at this point lol


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[Brick Tamland]

To be quite honest, almost every model except the GEFS & GFS have trended better today. Certainly makes you wonder

How is that Euro run better than the big snow storm it had the last run?