It was a whacky looking run for sure. To be honest I did see some good trends tho and some bad. Better than gfs for sure. My area gets shut out this run but whatever. Lol. Glad there is still something showing up.
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Pattern Flaming Feb 2021
- Thread starter SD
- Start date
The euro at 12z (not 00z) has been consistent on vortex location the last 3 days 
Darklordsuperstorm
Member
At least it will be nice and pleasant after the ice knocks out all the power:
It’s like every day the models come up with some sort of different evolution, it’s super irritating, I know models aren’t suppose to do well at that range but it seems like it’s sticking around that range forever, not moving, constantly throwing different looks at us, let’s see what the EPS does
Webberweather53
Meteorologist
Today's ECMWF run shows a lot of ice without there being much of a CAD in place in the Carolinas. It's something that's not as frequently associated with ice at least around here but it can happen from time to time. Verbatim the 12z ECMWF is the kind of setup you'd see in the southern plains when they get large ice storms.
BelmontWX79
Member
The fact we have a a lot of interactions between blocking and multiple tpv's will only make this worse. At this point expect changes with every run.
Cary_Snow95
Member
Overall this euro run just further shows how fluid this will be. Multiple ways to get wintry weather. We have multiple scenarios here and we will continue to swing wildly based on the speed of the front
Webberweather53
Meteorologist
Another TPV is dropping into SE Canada on the Euro here by day 10.
Jessy89
Member
Our cold keeps getting delayed to day 10. That’s a real issue
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Webberweather53
Meteorologist
Today's EPS looks like it has improved by day 6-7, dropping the TPV a little further south in the northern plains and the wave near Atlantic Canada is deeper = suppressed SE ridge
B
Brick Tamland
Guest
The models have definitely gone the wrong direction today. We've gone from a huge snow storm on all the globals to either rain or less snow and more ice in less than 24 hours.
EPS looks better, more +PNA
They haven’t really trended worse, but into more disagreement, which is expected
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Brick Tamland
Guest
They all showed a big snow storm yesterday. They are not showing that today. It's either cold rain or more ice and less snow. That's worse to most folks.
Webberweather53
Meteorologist
To be quite honest, almost every model except the GEFS & GFS have trended better today. Certainly makes you wonder
accu35
Member
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Gone wrong direction for you but in a right direction for us deep south folks
Storm5
Member
Not for us in the west . Every backyard for itself at this point lol
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Brick Tamland
Guest
How is that Euro run better than the big snow storm it had the last run?