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Pattern February Discussion
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GeorgiaGirl
Member
I can already tell the pacific is going to be too strong.
bouncycorn
Meteorologist
Actually it's only out to 156 so our first system hasn't even hit yet... Crazy run inbound! Remember the last time we had a crazy different 00z GFS run? Early JAN... about this far out.
GeorgiaGirl
Member
Geeeeezzzz, look at the strength of that storm coming in from the Pacific. There's another storm that is trying to pop to the south of it but that strong storm diving in from Canada may flood warm air into much of the US.
Storm5
Member
lol the northern is riding parallel to the US canada boarder ....
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Sent from my SM-G900V using Tapatalk
bouncycorn
Meteorologist
The ECMWF had a wrapped up trough in the NW CONUS.. The new GFS has no such thing but does have lots of s/w energy over Nevada. @GFS 162
GeorgiaGirl
Member
After 2/5, it warms up on the GFS. First run that begins to join the other guidance here, but we'll see if it's temporary.
Storm5
Member
this run isn't gonna end well
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Sent from my SM-G900V using Tapatalk
bouncycorn
Meteorologist
00z GFS? We bake! lol Huge low over in the plains. Maybe it'll dig into the gulf and that high in Canada will drop in?
Yep, just seen that, there is some changes as it gets into that hr but it's roughly about the same.
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GeorgiaGirl
Member
strong pac flow=warm warm warm
We were saying this... The GFS was the only model that didn't have it warm for a while but every other model did, and now the GFS is with the warm trend. This is very bad.
We were saying this... The GFS was the only model that didn't have it warm for a while but every other model did, and now the GFS is with the warm trend. This is very bad.
pcbjr
Member
when have any - but there are other forces beyond - MJO maybe ..... maybe 7 warm, into 8 - bingo
bouncycorn
Meteorologist
Yikes. Welp, there goes system number 2. And possibly our winter.
bouncycorn
Meteorologist
This run looks like severe weather to me.
Stormlover
Member
The DGEX is due to be right once, I mean it can be right one in a thousand times...right?
of course knowing it, it will change drastically in the morning.
of course knowing it, it will change drastically in the morning.
GeorgiaGirl
Member
Jesus, is this a triple phaser, or at least one phase? That low is at a very low pressure.
This would be major snow in the north and a severe weather event in the south.
This would be major snow in the north and a severe weather event in the south.
The best is yet to come. This is just absolutely ridiculous for a run.
pcbjr
Member
operative words ... I hope
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