One small - and I do mean small - part of the picture right now - it's a snare vs a kettle drum
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The displacement is well underway. The euro splits the 30 and 50mb vortices by day 10 good things happening above
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The gfs continues to show a metwannabe special late Thursday into Friday
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Depends really and honestly if you want severe a -ao might not be a terrible thing
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Like I said, that's only thing that's keeping me from throwing in the towel. I want to see ultimately what happens. A -ao or nao would be game changers for us imo. I think one should focus more on that possibility. That will be only thing that will save some of winter what we have left of it but I could be wrong
Well if wave #3 shows back up being close like today's 18z run, I will be ecstatic! For those that missed it, go back and check out 500mb vort maps for it.
The gfs has ticked colder over the last few runs for the start of the weekend.
Edit: Now it's about the same at 114.
Edit: Now it's about the same at 114.
This new GFS 00z run is looking much different than earlier runs. We are certainly still in time frame for huge changes in overall forecast.
we'll see - but i'm thinking about something a little more akin to child-like fantasy with a "hey - here we go where ever it is taking us" theme - but, we'll see
Honestly, this run looks like the first of it's kind for the system in the NW and overall H5 @144.. Could be an interesting run for sure.
18z kinda looked like it phased with the storm around Feb 5th, this time it just looks like a frontal passage, probably going to be a quick thump of wintry in North Carolina (maybe to the south too).
Looking at it is such a change, I had to check I was on the right run. At least it won't be the same as lately. Regardless of outcome.
They are both beneficial a true split would probably have longer lasting effects
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Ehhhh, not looking good in the pac NW for our second system. A strong low forms and looks to move across southern Canada.
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