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Pattern February Discussion Part II

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SoutheastRidge said:
It looks like Raleigh has had about 1/2" of snow/ice this winter ? When's the last time Raleigh finished a winter with that little snow ?
Click to expand...

As recently as 2007-08 Raleigh received 0.5" of snow...
Raleigh has also been shutout several times as well, including 2 winters in a row from 1990 to 1992. Here's a list of all the winters in chronological order with 0.5" of less of snow and their respective amounts. 11 of 14 of these years w/ 0.5 or less of snow have occurred since the mid 1940s indicative of the long term, low frequency decline in snowfall due in large part to a warming climate, and this is liable to continue over the coming decades...

Winter Snow amount (in)
1887-88 0.1"
1902-03 T
1908-09 T
1944-45 T
1948-49 T
1949-50 T
1952-53 0
1956-57 0
1990-91 0
1991-92 0
1996-97 0.4"
1998-99 0
2005-06 0
2007-08 0.5"
 
Webberweather53 said:
As recently as 2007-08 Raleigh received 0.5" of snow...
Raleigh has also been shutout several times as well, including 2 winters in a row from 1990 to 1992. Here's a list of all the winters in chronological order with 0.5" of less of snow and their respective amounts. 11 of 14 of these years w/ 0.5 or less of snow have occurred since the mid 1940s indicative of the long term, low frequency decline in snowfall due in large part to a warming climate, and this is liable to continue over the coming decades...

Winter Snow amount (in)
1887-88 0.1"
1902-03 T
1908-09 T
1944-45 T
1948-49 T
1949-50 T
1952-53 0
1956-57 0
1990-91 0
1991-92 0
1996-97 0.4"
1998-99 0
2005-06 0
2007-08 0.5"
Click to expand...
What stands out to me is that every winter from 1904 to 1944 had at least 1/2" of snow and also every winter from 1958 to 1990 had at least 1/2" of snow.
 
Webberweather53 said:
Ouch... We'll have no problem shattering record highs today
View attachment 117
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Here's the records on the verge of breaking...should be easy!
4932e18a3334641ba1f7b513bd76ed4d.jpg



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Even though it's been a warm winter, one thing I've noticed is that we've had a lot of cloudy days here in Georgia.
 
Webberweather53 said:
As recently as 2007-08 Raleigh received 0.5" of snow...
Raleigh has also been shutout several times as well, including 2 winters in a row from 1990 to 1992. Here's a list of all the winters in chronological order with 0.5" of less of snow and their respective amounts. 11 of 14 of these years w/ 0.5 or less of snow have occurred since the mid 1940s indicative of the long term, low frequency decline in snowfall due in large part to a warming climate, and this is liable to continue over the coming decades...

Winter Snow amount (in)
1887-88 0.1"
1902-03 T
1908-09 T
1944-45 T
1948-49 T
1949-50 T
1952-53 0
1956-57 0
1990-91 0
1991-92 0
1996-97 0.4"
1998-99 0
2005-06 0
2007-08 0.5"
Click to expand...
Oh the 90s what a great time to be a young snow weenie

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My goodness is that storm massive. That's a pretty good severe look, and I'd think with those dewpoints it wouldn't dissipate as easily as shown.
 
hahahahaha we end up with another shortwave apparently cranking in a circle with that big storm in fantasy land.
 
SD said:
Oh the 90s what a great time to be a young snow weenie

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Click to expand...

Yea, the 90s weren't known for wintry wx in the SE US except for the March 1993 superstorm, but what a great decade for hurricanes in the Carolinas esp in the mid-late 1990s, although it still doesn't hold a candle to 1893 when two hurricanes passed over central NC in the same year. I could certainly live with this though...
Bertha (1996)
Fran (1996)
Bonnie (1998)
Dennis (1999)
Floyd (1999)
 
Webb - I defer to you, but something that strong might act as a triggering mechanism to pull some cold air down from Canada. Looking at some wind models, it seems a possibility (note - I don't say "probability" LOL)
 
Those two pieces do phase that I have been mentioning. The question is where it phases? That's still unknown. There is evidence that there could be severe wx before the phase occurs. There is still limited skill at this range. The models have been hinting at the major EC storm, so there is a chance that a strong EC storm will occur and the model has been consistent with the signal. If the phase occurs off of the SE coast, there could be a significant snowstorm along the east.

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Shawn said:
Be careful looking for Winter weather. This look has severe written all. over it. I first noticed a real look yesterday on the Canadian.
Could be scary stuff.
Click to expand...
That thing has everything but winter written all over it - 100% in your camp!
 
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