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Pattern February Discussion Part II

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Bowling ball just a tick south of 18z

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The shield of moisture is more together at 102 than 18z. East of the APPs may do okay on this run. It is colder as well on this run.

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After these past two runs, I have a theory of what's going on and it's not a phase. Most of this system gets caught in the PV.
 
gfs and euro are on two different planets at the moment . I bet the euro goes back to a more gfs like solution

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The Euro still deserves to be trusted more than the GFS but it hasn't been that good this year.
trusted because of one run phased run that had little ensemble support ?

the gfs and it's ensembles have been rock solid with a more suppressed solution and OTS

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gfs and euro are on two different planets at the moment . I bet the euro goes back to a more gfs like solution

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While I hate to go against the euro I think there is some true in what you are saying.


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The time period I'm keeping an eye on is coming up, of the possible major EC storm.

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