Pattern February 2024

[LukeBarrette]

One more south trend and your boy is looking at a 1-2 inch event. Need it!

 

[tractor girl]

The Northwest Trend strikes again

 

[Wild Weather Monger]

Crazy I know, but I just can't quite bring myself to bury this one. Hoping for that tried and true last-minute NW trend and the modeling dampening that Baja S/W just a little too much.

 

[accu35]

Crazy I know, but I just quite bring myself to bury this one. Hoping for that tried and true last-minute NW trend and the modeling dampening that Baja S/W just a little too much.
View attachment 146487

I was fixing to post this one lol. You go another frame or two it shows other members with little snow as well far south Al. Globles not showing this solution just yet but the gefs ens have been consistent with these little northern edge snow for the past few days now. Last adjustment will occur.

 

[Jimmy Hypocracy]

GFS has been adamant towards the coast on ruining someone’s snowless streak

 

[Wild Weather Monger]

I was fixing to post this one lol. You go another game or two it shows other members with little snow as well far south Al. Globles not showing this solution just yet but the gefs ens have been consistent with these little northern edge snow for the past few days now. Last adjustment will occur.

Yep. I peeked at the soundings for MBY on Sunday AM. Definitely supportive of snow if the precip pushes just a little further north.

 

[Myfrotho704_]

The MJO wave that models saw for a while, is basically dead, probably a reason why models look awful now. It’s losing influence and that was what was forecasted to drive the 2nd half of Feb/March. It was suppose to continue into the WHEM then the Indian Ocean.
But still why are we headed to a PR regime ? What’s the reasoning behind that ?
The MJO was suppressed in dec by the strong positive Indian Ocean dipole, and the pattern was just a reflection of a strong El Niño aka Pacific trough regime/poleward shifted overextended jet. This time around Pacific at d10 is just a weird looking retracted jet, but with split flow out over the open pacific and a strong subtropical jet, I don’t get that reaction still from a subseasonal standpoint. We have a lot left to learn about wx

 

[td tide]

I love warmer than average March's. Its just refreshing.

I want below normal as long as we can get it. Keep severe away and I know we are facing 5 months of summer anyway.

 

[znel52]

GFS has been adamant towards the coast on ruining someone’s snowless streak
View attachment 146488

If this was any model other than the GFS I might get my hopes up. Hopefully this is a blind squirrel finding the nut scenario.

 

[rburrel2]

We buying this?

 

[LukeBarrette]

The little clipper esque system continues to trend south, 1-2 event here on the Euro

 

[Chazwin]

We buying this?
View attachment 146501

I’m not sure anyone can at this point. It’s a great look and there was a time seeing that on the EURO ten days out would be exciting… not anymore

 

[rburrel2]

Euro control looks simlilar to the Euro at 240hrs.... and somehow manages to rain on everybody with this look. I give up.

 

[Iceagewhereartthou]

We buying this?
View attachment 146501

I'm not. I'm NEVER buying a cold or snowy outlook again. After so many fails you have to be a doubter.

 

[LukeBarrette]

Casual 1 run NAM change

 

[iGRXY]

We buying this?
View attachment 146501

Until I see the flakes literally falling from the sky, no. I mean it's so bad here we haven't had a legit storm THREAT to even track in 2 years. Like we can't even get fantasy model runs to show up and eventually go poof under day 4 like we used to.

 

[Myfrotho704_]

We’re gonna trend to the closest call possible, to the last minute, as usual, but miss out

 

[WolfpackHomer91]

We’re gonna trend to the closest call possible, to the last minute, as usual, but miss out View attachment 146509

Damn, Thats awful close

 

[Marksnownosnow]

View attachment 146502
The little clipper esque system continues to trend south, 1-2 event here on the Euro

Every few days that snow belt in West Virginia gets hit. Great location for snow lovers.

 

[Psalm 148:8]

Cue Lucy snatching the ball from Charlie Brown.. that is all…..I’m done.. bring on spring!