packfan98
Moderator
The College of Dupage site only shows 20 ensemble members out of the 30, but the mean seems to show the mix of all 30 from what I’ve observed. Weatherbell shows all 30.
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Pattern February 2024
- Thread starter SD
- Start date
Oh yeah I completely forgot that weatherbell had 30 members! Definitely some better members on the other 10. Thanks for postingThe College of Dupage site only shows 20 ensemble members out of the 30, but the mean seems to show the mix of all 30 from what I’ve observed. Weatherbell shows all 30.
JLL1973
Member
Long range gfs says i need to go ahead and get the camper and boat out of storage. End of February looking warm
Just curious what happened to the great pattern that was expected to develop in Feb and keep us cold and snowy through March? Genuine question of what went wrong as I know a lot of respected mets and contributors on here were very excited about Feb.
Long range OP GFS is the starting point of the problem
Just curious what happened to the great pattern that was expected to develop in Feb and keep us cold and snowy through March? Genuine question of what went wrong as I know a lot of respected mets and contributors on here were very excited about Feb.
Way too early to write off the pattern. The models have a tendency of overextending the jet at this range and then catching up closer to verification.
Just curious what happened to the great pattern that was expected to develop in Feb and keep us cold and snowy through March? Genuine question of what went wrong as I know a lot of respected mets and contributors on here were very excited about Feb.
18z euro continues the trend the moving the S/W in the NW US at day 4-5 further east. Good to see ! This process is crucial to our threat at D8 
That's a massive move for a long-wave feature inside of four days. Can we keep this trend going? I sure hope so!
packfan98
Moderator
@Myfrotho704_ whats your take on the 18z EPS?
Flotown
Member
for carolinas or others?
It’s good for everyone. The farther east it is, the greater the infusion of cold air and the less interaction with the trough over the Pacific thus it lessens the dampening down of the west coast ridge.
WolfpackHomer91
Member
When will this actually be sampled ? Ik someone posted that the Pacific Ridging could start to die down as we get closer bc Computers struggling to catch up. But Sampled when Monday? Tuesday ?
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Should get better agreement by Monday/Tuesday.
WolfpackHomer91
Member
I know it’s nitpicking but I’d rather this thing come in Friday night or overnight Saturday night…. Idk about height of the storm dead afternoon. I thinks that’s happened 3x in my life it’s snowed in daylight
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Well judging by the way that the EURO, EPS, and JMA changed this afternoon, I’m fairly certain there was new data put into those models
Curious to see if we get another jump like that on the 0z. Can't be up for that one but if it does jump again we might have a ballgame in more of the se
Huge improvement from 12z. Almost no energy now clogging up the western ridge, the pacific trough has backed up the last 3 runs. Probably the best look yet from the EPS
griteater
Member
