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Pattern February 2024

I'm glad that the Euro has a storm and cold air, but I don't like that the ridge out west completely breaks down. That would shear out any shortwave.
Good thing at this range it could just be noise, wonder what the ensembles say about that.
 
eps looking promising. Definitely colder.
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I would feel better if it was inside 5 days instead of 9 days out.
The ball will be rolling this time next week and inbound over the latter half of next weekend.

This year isnt like others. Easy for the models to pick up on waves and h5 generalities from 10 days out. What happens when you have a dominant signal. Now getting down to back yard forecast, still need to get inside 5.
 
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