Is that building in cold air or retreating?
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Pattern February 2024
- Thread starter SD
- Start date
CNCsnwfan1210
Member
Probably a good little front end thump if it verified
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the semantics dont matter at this stage - we've maintained the signal on the OP. Lets hope we hold serve or do better on the GEFS
Slow building signal for the Feb 17th-20th timeframe. Slow & steady.
Carolina Sky
Member
Interesting. That does look like the typical winter storm in NC as far where the snow and rain line sets up.
packfan98
Moderator
I liked that CMC run. PNA really started to stretch out. Aleutian low got going. Then it threw a vort down the stovepipe beyond 220’ish. If we can just hold that feature for longer then a couple of days you’d think we could have a real shot here.
GEPS rolling in significantly colder than last run. I'd say so, i guess, with this look:
iGRXY
Member
iGRXY
Member
Everyone is interedted in this timeframe, CMCE are very much colder
. But, at least the kids can use all the sleds I bought. ?
iGRXY
Member
Pretty legit look here, 50/50 low, active southern stream thanks to El Niño influence, and a suppressive height field thanks to the ridge nosing in from the NW US. nice wedge signal here 
850 line went from between US 74 and I-40 in NC to just about a line from Charleston to Macon. Usually, I am not too worried with the location of that isobar line in a long range forecast but a move that south in one run is significant.
All we can hope for is a for sure place at the table, we can sort out who gets served what later.
coldfront22
Member
Great post Arcc. You want to be at the table. This may be our only shot this winter, so my fingers are crossed.
rburrel2
Member
That's a massive snow mean on the CMCE considering it all falls after hour 300.
What I'm digging about this setup is we may actually have a several day period to score. Instead of the typical requirement the last couple years of needing to perfectly time a wave with fleeting cold air.
When you get a solid 4-5 day stretch of 50/50 low/CAD/ suppressive height field with a very active southern stream slinging multiple waves out, that makes the uprights rather wide compared to normal for kicking the field goal. And that's all we can hope for until we fine tune a storm signal.
What I'm digging about this setup is we may actually have a several day period to score. Instead of the typical requirement the last couple years of needing to perfectly time a wave with fleeting cold air.
When you get a solid 4-5 day stretch of 50/50 low/CAD/ suppressive height field with a very active southern stream slinging multiple waves out, that makes the uprights rather wide compared to normal for kicking the field goal. And that's all we can hope for until we fine tune a storm signal.
RoddyPiper
Member
Keep nudging that AK ridge further west and send us a wave down the stovepipe.....that will be a fitting end to this winter!
Stormlover
Member
That cross polar flow looks nice
