I tend to agree. A string of 52/30 high low spreads for a few weeks will at least be pleasant
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Pattern February 2024
- Thread starter SD
- Start date
griteater
Member
This is as far south as you will ever see the subtropical jet stream here on the GEFS as the mean wave in the flow is entering North America south of Baja. That's unheard of. The mean jet stream zonal wind anomalies have steadily moved south from December into February (2nd image), common in robust El Ninos as EWebb showed (at bottom)
Nothing to complain about wrt the 12z ens 
Cary_Snow95
Member
This is one scenario where means and departures should get better and better as we get closer to 02/15. That snow mean for 16 days out is pretty impressive honestly.
Euro with the big time ridge out west already at D10 now. It’s coming 
That's a tall spiking ridge. What a banger.
First time in a while I’ve seen a -NAO with a cooperative pacific (+PNA). Honestly don’t remember the the last time. Feels like we stayed wasting -NAOs on either trash pacific patterns, or decent But very transient pac patterns
Literally every teleconnections here is cooperating. Split flow, +PNA, -NAO/-AO, Alaskan ridge/-EPO, this is a rarity. I can understand the pessimism because nothing has happened this winter, and we’ve failed, but this isn’t gonna be like the last couple of February’s, this is quickly reaching the D10 window now, the building blocks are under that 
BHS1975
Member
Hasn't the Indian Ocean convection been messing it up?
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Flotown
Member
that,verbatim would be an overrunning dream
At this point I will be happy with a few days of fantasy runs, feels like we haven’t even had that in 2+ years
griteater
Member
Weakest zonal wind output to date for mid Feb to mid Mar on today’s Euro Weeklies update. Could support a heavy and prolonged blocking episode if it continues
Ron Burgundy
Member
Dang - three tornado warnings out in S GA. One confirmed north of Valdosta
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I checked in with my mom in Valdosta. She's always scared when Torns are around. Her text: it's serious at Moody Air Force Base. Torns all over all around. Debris, people hurt. There was a torn on the ground in Ray City a few mins ago. A new on now on ground in Pavo, pass Hahira. Telling now on tv to take cover now. -(that was a couple of mins ago). Yikes
Stormlover
Member
There's the change to colder on the 8 to 14 day outlook
If we’re not digging out after this then idk anymore. Seems historically we do really well the first 3.5 weeks of February. Plus nothing would please me more than to see Panovich eat crow here 
You lost me… did he say winter is over?
no but a few years ago he said there would be a year where Charlotte didn’t see a trace of snow and now it’s been two years and he’s showboating while the weenie inside of him is crying out for help