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Misc Fall - End of 2019 Whamby

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snowcool776 said:
Looks almost like this in the summer.
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In NY, there is hardly any red and orange, but in the late summer there is in NC.
 
A couple of posters seem to forget we have this thread. Always posting the same sarcastic whining in the main thread.
 
I wish I could contribute something positive to this site for winter. But in all seriousness it's hard. I've been doing this for 12 years now and saw every type of setup fail us down here for the most part.

I really feel we are just scratching the surface with weather forecasting and its frustrating. But in the past 12 years I've only seen one thing mute the SER for any extended period of time and that's the -NAO. I really seems it's the only tele that can give us average or below average temps for an extended length of time in winter.

I'm not talking about snow. We just need the stars to align for it. The PNA and EPO can take care of that. But if we want to break the horrendous streak of AN temps anomalies in winter it appears we have to have the NAO. And it appears this is the only area of the country that depends on it and its refusal to be anything but positive in winter is frustrating.
 
NoSnowATL said:
Sad, JBs Saturday summary was bad, he is trying so hard to show cold but it isn’t there Joe( at least for the East). In summary : avg November, warm December.... I’ve seen this movie before. It ain’t good.


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The month is still over a month away but I feel good about our chances for an AN December for the ninth year in a row.
 
NoSnowATL said:
Sad, JBs Saturday summary was bad, he is trying so hard to show cold but it isn’t there Joe( at least for the East). In summary : avg November, warm December.... I’ve seen this movie before. It ain’t good.


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I already know winter is going to be AN in the end so I'm not going to get myself hyped over a fantasy. I'm just going to be on the lookout for a good chance and take it a week at a time. After the great winter of 2010-11 we had 2 bad years here in a row before we got a decent hit again, so I'm going off the idea of a repeating pattern from the great 2017-18 here. 18-19 was our snowless year so I'll be happy if we get anything here even if it's ice.
 
ForsythSnow said:
I already know winter is going to be AN in the end so I'm not going to get myself hyped over a fantasy. I'm just going to be on the lookout for a good chance and take it a week at a time. After the great winter of 2010-11 we had 2 bad years here in a row before we got a decent hit again, so I'm going off the idea of a repeating pattern from the great 2017-18 here. 18-19 was our snowless year so I'll be happy if we get anything here even if it's ice.
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We are way overdue for a good ice storm.


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Not sure why a warm December is a bad thing. Doesn't mean it will be warm for January and February. And it doesn't usually snow around here in December anyway.
 
I don’t know if it’s just local or what but I’m tired of just one big over a foot of snow and done type of winters. I would prefer smaller more frequent events with more clouds right after events.
 
Golf7575 said:
Ollie, i dont see anything on the second map, but my eyes arent the greatest lol. The first map looks acceptable.
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The first map was the graphic I was displaying that has JB’s forecast. The second one was meant to be a blank design just for reference.


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Brick Tamland said:
Not sure why a warm December is a bad thing. Doesn't mean it will be warm for January and February. And it doesn't usually snow around here in December anyway.
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Early snow is amazing. It helps you get into the holiday spirit. The way we have had two significant winter storms for the Southeast US two years in a row in early December is quite anomalous. (Though some areas were luckier than others). I wouldn't be surprised if December is a shutout for most this year.
 
Golf7575 said:
I understand. You should do one yourself ollie. Give us your thoughts.
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Thanks Golf, I’ve learned my lesson “not” to make winter forecasts. I made one last year, back when I was a super weenie. I mean, last year I’ve worshipped JB and the Euro seasonal. You know how that panned out. Thank goodness I found this forum because my views of peaches and rainbows of our winters have gone away. Take a look at my forecast from last year. I know, right!
d301d950ae0e27e6f0512621b61e91cc.jpg

This year my forecast will be wash, rinse and repeat of the SER. Though I’m not making a forecast because, deep down, I like to know there is a chance of a block buster winter (Probably not). Right now I’m going to just listen to Webb and Anthony Masiello and see if I can interpret cold out of their scientific chatter.
 
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BirdManDoomW said:
I don’t know if it’s just local or what but I’m tired of just one big over a foot of snow and done type of winters. I would prefer smaller more frequent events with more clouds right after events.
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Sounds like you would love the midwest. Lots of small 1-3" snow events with days of clouds afterwards.
 
Ollie Williams said:
Thanks Golf, I’ve learned my lesson “not” to make winter forecasts. I made one last year, back when I was a super weenie. I mean, last year I’ve worshipped JB and the Euro seasonal. You know how that panned out. Thank goodness I found this forum because my views of peaches and rainbows of our winters have gone away. Take a look at my forecast from last year. I know, right!
d301d950ae0e27e6f0512621b61e91cc.jpg

This year my forecast will be wash, rinse and repeat of the SER. Though I’m not making a forecast because, deep down, I like to know there is a chance of a block buster winter (Probably not). Right now I’m going to just listen to Webb and Anthony Masiello and see if I can interpret cold out of their scientific chatter.
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Another good one is ISOTHERM. Imo, he is one of the best. He will put out his forecast in a week.
 
Golf7575 said:
Another good one is ISOTHERM. Imo, he is one of the best. He will put out his forecast in a week.
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I agree, I follow the 33andRain winter thread and really appreciate his posts down there. I didn’t know his forecast was coming out soon. Thanks for letting me know, I’m going to have to look out for that.
Edit: Over on the NE forum 40/70 Benchmark said he was going to release his forecast November 11th or 12th

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snowcool776 said:
A line is a storm system that brings heavy rains and strong winds very quickly over a widespread area.
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Lot of us are not new on here. Lot of us are very knowledgable when it comes to weather. I've notice your question on here are a bit to much and off the wall, be patient your answers will come. We know what a line of storms are and many many more. So when your learning weather, please know that most of us are way way way ahead of you lol.
 
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