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Misc Fall - End of 2019 Whamby

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Jimmy Hypocracy said:
Bulleit Rye and hot model runs. Might even mix a little Top Golf in there. Going to be a great night
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At least it's bourbon weather I'll be drinking some EH Taylor Single Barrel tonight, Been saving the really fancy bottles for if we ever get a decent snow.... needless to say my collection has grown quite a bit.
 
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It’s all his fault! Get em!


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NoSnowATL said:
I don’t remember seeing 2 years so similar like last year and this year. It’s like groundhogs day. MJO going tell us everything in a few weeks.


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MJO is just one of many things that will provide a clue or clues ... best thing to do is watch and independently blend model trends, and also pay real close attention to what the winds are doing over a couple weeks period and you'll have a great eye on things ...

among others:

https://earth.nullschool.net/#current/wind/isobaric/500hPa/orthographic=-99.29,49.14,586

https://earth.nullschool.net/#current/wind/surface/level/orthographic=-74.21,21.02,1907

and watch WV loops ...
 
pcbjr said:
MJO is just one of many things that will provide a clue or clues ... best thing to do is watch and independently blend model trends, and also pay real close attention to what the winds are doing over a couple weeks period and you'll have a great eye on things ...

among others:

https://earth.nullschool.net/#current/wind/isobaric/500hPa/orthographic=-99.29,49.14,586

https://earth.nullschool.net/#current/wind/surface/level/orthographic=-74.21,21.02,1907

and watch WV loops ...
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That’s too fancy, remember I went to Georgia.


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NoSnowATL said:
That’s too fancy, remember I went to Georgia.


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I went to weather school on the back page of the Jax newspaper, watching George Winterling on local news Channel 4, and based on what I could read and absorb after real life school ... so I profess to know nothing ... except ... models are just models; there are things that link if you look long enough; weather is not a predictable commodity; weather is fun; and weather thoughts are truly fun sharing here as opposed to ... well, I'll not name that other place ...

I went to ND by the way; then to UF for 2 grad degrees just in order to re-learn southern ...
 
pcbjr said:
I went to weather school on the back page of the Jax newspaper, watching George Winterling on local news Channel 4, and based on what I could read and absorb after real life school ... so I profess to know nothing ... except ... models are just models; there are things that link if you look long enough; weather is not a predictable commodity; weather is fun; and weather thoughts are truly fun sharing here as opposed to ... well, I'll not name that other place ...

I went to ND by the way; then to UF for 2 grad degrees just in order to re-learn southern ...
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That’s a pretty damn good resume!


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NoSnowATL said:
I don’t remember seeing 2 years so similar like last year and this year. It’s like groundhogs day. MJO going tell us everything in a few weeks.


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And just like last year the models are showing a deep npac low starting 2nd week of Dec. Of course thing became unhinged after.

907B0E59-3A95-431C-9D55-BD2E19288471.gifB515FF15-DC67-4EE0-A575-7959C63EE026.gif
 
A month from now if we've punted the 1st half of January still relying on a fantasy pattern change I'm throwing in the towel. February has been about as much of a disappointment as December lately.
 
Snowless & Grumpy said:
A month from now if we've punted the 1st half of January still relying on a fantasy pattern change I'm throwing in the towel. February has been about as much of a disappointment as December lately.
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If pipes aren't bursting in January, I'm throwing my crystal ball and Magic 8 Ball away ...
 
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