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Misc Fall - End of 2019 Whamby

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NoSnowATL said:
I can’t keep up, y’all slow down.


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WxWatch said:
The ICON is showing overrunning that I have been mentioning. Speaking of the 12z GFS, I believe it's erroneous after hour 144. Some may think this possible winter storm is over, but it's not IMO. The low pressure system would be such a dynamic system, many variables/factors are at play. Sometimes these models don't know what to do with such a dynamic system to the point that data has errors. This is why every model needs human input.
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I have really enjoyed the wxwatch show thus far. It reminds me of how hopeful and wishful I was a decade ago. Brings back fond memories of picking the model solution that was closest to what I want. I've grown to realize that truth is more valuable than fiction, but fiction can be more entertaining for sure!

I've got a feeling this fiction won't last much longer, though.
 
I would say, based on the GEFS, that if you draw a line from Nashville to Morristown to Emporia, VA, everyone north of that line, will likely see snow in the next two weeks. Everyone south of that line, well, wait and see what January brings.
 
FallsLake said:
I would actually prefer the 12z GFS (day 12) outcome. A big snow for my back yard and then enough cold air afterwards to keep much of it around until Christmas. But I haven't meet a genie to grant any of my wishes....
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I think we're going to get a winter storm sometime in the next two weeks. The models are showing a really strong signal.
 
FallsLake said:
I would actually prefer the 12z GFS (day 12) outcome. A big snow for my back yard and then enough cold air afterwards to keep much of it around until Christmas. But I haven't meet a genie to grant any of my wishes....
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Yeah it's nice to at least get fantasy storms in December. They're fun to look at it. I'd love to get a fantasy snow storm rather than a sleet fest, but I'm just being picky now....

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FallsLake said:
I would actually prefer the 12z GFS (day 12) outcome. A big snow for my back yard and then enough cold air afterwards to keep much of it around until Christmas. But I haven't meet a genie to grant any of my wishes....
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We toss that dumpster fire! Jimmy gets more snow than me!??
 
It’s nice of the models to keep throwing out false hope as we head into Christmas! Feliz Navidad!
 
Get it within 72hrs and I’m interested, been pooped on too many times to get sucked in this far out. I love the possibilities like most so don’t get me wrong.


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Tarheel1 said:
It’s nice of the models to keep throwing out false hope as we head into Christmas! Feliz Navidad!
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Geez would you rather see a SER? Can't have it all this time of year lol.
 
NoSnowATL said:
Get it within 72hrs and I’m interested, been pooped on too many times to get sucked in this far out. I love the possibilities like most so don’t get me wrong.


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Well, if it was just one storm showing up on one model, then I would be more cautious to think we're going to get something. But when we have multiple storms showing up on different models at different times, and sometimes this one shows it, and then it doesn't, but then another one shows it, and we keep going back and forth, I think's it's actually a better sign that eventually one of those chances will happen within the next couple of weeks.
 
Brick Tamland said:
Well, if it was just one storm showing up on one model, then I would be more cautious to think we're going to get something. But when we have multiple storms showing up on different models at different times, and sometimes this one shows it, and then it doesn't, but then another one shows it, and we keep going back and forth, I think's it's actually a better sign that eventually one of those chances will happen within the next couple of weeks.
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I agree, if I was in North Carolina I would be pumped. It takes a little more for us Deep South brothers. I am always pulling for a winter storm.


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NoSnowATL said:
I agree, if I was in North Carolina I would be pumped. It takes a little more for us Deep South brothers. I am always pulling for a winter storm.


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I'm in North Carolina (I think or Canada I get confused) anyway and I'm not pumped.... cautiously optimistic but not pumped.
 
Brick Tamland said:
Well, if it was just one storm showing up on one model, then I would be more cautious to think we're going to get something. But when we have multiple storms showing up on different models at different times, and sometimes this one shows it, and then it doesn't, but then another one shows it, and we keep going back and forth, I think's it's actually a better sign that eventually one of those chances will happen within the next couple of weeks.
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I tend to agree with this but don't come into the whamby thread and try to change it up, this place is meant for sarcasm and whining. Why you trying to clean it???
 
SnowNiner said:
Yeah it's nice to at least get fantasy storms in December. They're fun to look at it. I'd love to get a fantasy snow storm rather than a sleet fest, but I'm just being picky now....

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I love snow, and certainly will always chose that over sleet. But sleet can be a ton of fun also, especially if you can manage to get a few inches of it. We did here in the Columbia area back in 2014 during that huge CAD storm and I tell ya what, I've never had more fun in a winter storm than I had in that one. Had my skimboard out there having a ball! haha but not near as pretty to look at due to it never sticking in the trees.
 
Robert West said:
I love snow, and certainly will always chose that over sleet. But sleet can be a ton of fun also, especially if you can manage to get a few inches of it. We did here in the Columbia area back in 2014 during that huge CAD storm and I tell ya what, I've never had more fun in a winter storm than I had in that one. Had my skimboard out there having a ball! haha but not near as pretty to look at due to it never sticking in the trees.
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It is good sleddin. And great to get you out of work because the roads are a mess, even moreso than with snow. But snow's the bomb. Winterwonderland and all that good stuff :)
 
smast16 said:
Call Big Joe. There's a conspiracy afoot.


You know i'm kidding right?
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Ha ha. Yeah, but makes you wonder. If he were to go online and post about how warm this winter will be he would could ripped apart worse than being biased cold.
 
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