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Pattern Fail or Fab February 2023 Pattern Thread

this would be horrible for the canes stadium game - 2 weeks away so hopefully this will change significantly. Good thing it’s just one run of the gfs
 

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Now that’s a legit southeast ridge that can produce long lasting really warm temperatures. Something that I’ve been expecting to see for a while now with all of its hype for the passed month. Maybe the legit thing is coming soon in the mean time the medium and short range continues to throw us decent troughs. 016BDEB4-8B6E-4F28-9D3C-8E70F4612196.jpeg
 
BullCityWx said:
13-14 would qualify too, if I remember correctly.
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2014-15, as well. It was a trash winter with the exception of a two week period in the last half of February that had a big sleet storm and then a 6” event at the end of the month.
 
NickyBGuarantee said:
Now that’s a legit southeast ridge that can produce long lasting really warm temperatures. Something that I’ve been expecting to see for a while now with all of its hype for the passed month. Maybe the legit thing is coming soon in the mean time the medium and short range continues to throw us decent troughs. View attachment 132105
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I'm about ready for spring too! However,we've seen similar looks at 300 plus hrs. and 240 it is transient. It seems as the models are almost always returning to Climo feb LA Nina after 300hrs.( Strong SE ridge) I'm sure it must be formatted to be likely in their program so there has to be strong evidence otherwise to see something much different.
 
NickyBGuarantee said:
Now that’s a legit southeast ridge that can produce long lasting really warm temperatures. Something that I’ve been expecting to see for a while now with all of its hype for the passed month. Maybe the legit thing is coming soon in the mean time the medium and short range continues to throw us decent troughs. View attachment 132105
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The same SE ridge that's been sitting over the East Coast this past month?

Yeah that one

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BHS1975 said:
80s in Feb has been a thing the last few years.


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It's actually modelling a little cooler in Bham this year for a 3rd year la nina. In feb 1976( a 3rd year la nina) we were dominated by upper 60s to upper 70s for the whole month . We had 14 days above 70 and only had 5 days with highs under 60 degrees the whole month. The next winter was brutally cold!
 
Quite a few interesting GEFS members at 06z for next weekend .. no crazy big storm but if we can get the trough orientation right and give some energy enough time to round the bend there’s certainly a chance to see some snow. Maybe a snow squall type of scenerio. But likely another decent cold shot on the way!
 
NickyBGuarantee said:
Quite a few interesting GEFS members at 06z for next weekend .. no crazy big storm but if we can get the trough orientation right and give some energy enough time to round the bend there’s certainly a chance to see some snow. Maybe a snow squall type of scenerio. But likely another decent cold shot on the way!
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I'll take it any way I can get it.
 
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