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Pattern Fab-February 2020 The dark age

Matthew70 said:
Anything past 5-6 days will not happen. Models are pretty useless after those days. I would bet it will be a different look next model run. Also the cold advertised will be at least 10 degrees warmer. One thing we all should have learned last few years. Cold don’t verify like models show in long range.
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I see what your saying and I agree, but the cold that Larry has been mentioning here lately has been getting colder with he runs. I can see a legit cold spell here soon
 
GFS was very close for something amazing but it fails to kick the energy fast enough.
 
I believe this little piece of energy entering Baja is what sets everything off. Something to watch over the next couple of days 6BDB88D7-C498-4C24-A043-29D4936F5C0D.jpeg
 
Something is clearly being sniffed out by the models right now .. all we can do is wait and see how we trend .. trend is clear right now and that’s that these blooming trees and budding flowers will die soon
 
Storm5 said:
Gfs is oh so close
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Move the wave over Iowa to the Tx/Ok panhandle and take your chances.
 
While they are dwindling, I would say the chance for snow in the piedmont of N.C. is still pretty good judging it snowed last April here. I’m cautiously optimistic that we still have enough time to see more than a trace.
 
Nick_boynton_ said:
Something is clearly being sniffed out by the models right now .. all we can do is wait and see how we trend .. trend is clear right now and that’s that these blooming trees and budding flowers will die soon
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The mild nights is what set them off.


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Matthew70 said:
Anything past 5-6 days will not happen. Models are pretty useless after those days. I would bet it will be a different look next model run. Also the cold advertised will be at least 10 degrees warmer. One thing we all should have learned last few years. Cold don’t verify like models show in long range.
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December 2018 says hi.
 
Broken024 said:
Yea i think February 2014 was from like 8 to 9 days out if I remember correctly. It does happen
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March 2015. My wedding date was March 28th and the lead up was warm in the 70s. About 7 or 8 days out a cold front started showing up with a huge crash in temps. The night before the front hit and we got married on the waterfront of the Nuese river with NW winds gusting to 35 and temps in the 40s. When its unpleasant results they will be right 2 weeks out.
 
Shaggy said:
March 2015. My wedding date was March 28th and the lead up was warm in the 70s. About 7 or 8 days out a cold front started showing up with a huge crash in temps. The night before the front hit and we got married on the waterfront of the Nuese river with NW winds gusting to 35 and temps in the 40s. When its unpleasant results they will be right 2 weeks out.
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March 2015 first week I got 6 inches snow ...
 
Webberweather53 said:
December 2018 says hi.
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January 2011 was one I remember being extremely well modeled. A well entrenched H with a healthy s/w and not a lot of energy flying around is easy enough for the models to handle. These fast flowing patterns and all this energy everywhere is not easy task for anyone or any model to decipher
 
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