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Pattern Fab-February 2020 The dark age

It looks like the trend toward colder near or just after midmonth may continue on the 12Z GFS based on early maps. Let’s see.

Edit: Midwest is much colder than earlier runs as of day 6 or so with a much better 500 mb setup!
 
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Humongous change at 500 mb on the 12Z GFS!!! WTF?

Here was the 0Z:

C396FC74-DA44-4D7E-BDD4-5981836689E4.png

Now the 12Z GFS:
D6B92E1F-DBB5-45C4-9171-D72DD1C8DE5F.png
 
Look at the massive 2 meter changes. This is incredible and very rarely seen at this magnitude this early!! Also, snow in SC/NC 2/14?!

18Z yesterday

E62CB899-7165-4C5E-AC87-2A425364865E.png

12Z today
B3135B56-E28D-4AC5-9EA0-6CF293612D46.png
 
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2 meter anomalies 2/14 OMG!!

View attachment 33218
I know that you have said one here that you believe the pattern will change and allow at least a window for winter storms after the 20th. Are you seeing anything in the indicies that would indicate this is the beginning of that. I’m not seeing it when I look at them, but I just want to make sure I’m not missing something
 
The 12Z GEFS is about to also come in colder it appears. I love the mostly silence because nobody believes this is for real. But is this going to be different?
In all my years of following models, this (12Z GFS) ranks near the top for 12 hour cold changes in the SE.
 
The 12Z GEFS is about to also come in colder it appears. I love the mostly silence because nobody believes this is for real. But is this going to be different?
In all my years of following models, this (12Z GFS) ranks near the top for 12 hour cold changes in the SE.
I hope it is finally real, Larry...lol
 
12Z GEFS supporting the much colder 12Z GFS! Holy @&@&!

View attachment 33226
I belive in the GAWX late Feb Early March flip. My forecast from 1/18 - 2/28 got shreded this week, thought we would have a smoother course when going AN, Not mid 60's to 70 for highs 3-4 days in a row.
 
The 12Z GEFS is about to also come in colder it appears. I love the mostly silence because nobody believes this is for real. But is this going to be different?
That AO crash may be the cause for these changes? Would be nice to salvage winter before March comes around.
 
Those early spring buds and seedlings are in for a rude awakening if these 12z runs actually come to fruition.


Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk
 
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