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Pattern Fab-February 2020 The dark age

Mainly for entertainment since it is the 12Z CFS, a very unreliable model: this is the coldest 5 day period of the entire 45 day run and it isn’t til 3/6-10 (please be right lol):A89ED837-A55D-486C-B48D-89930EE67D46.png
 
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0z Nam trying again
 
Something to watch for is closings and delays. 3-6 inches of rain. Add in wind gusts 40+ mph. Flooding and power outages could be a issue. I wouldn’t be surprised to see school delays or closings.


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accu35 said:
Not much talk about this system on the wintry side, but this model and others are really increasing the chance for snow showers in the deep south. Worth watching and I'll take anything at this point.
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Good Evening,
Over the many years on the weather boards I pretty much know where everyone is located. This is not directed at you, it would be awesome if peeps would give an idea of location. New members may not know. Thanks
 
Maybe it’s just me but gfs appears to be trending a tad colder. For Saturday night


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This needs to be watched the GFS over the last few runs keeps ramping up precip and bringing the rain/snow line farther south. And with rates that heavy it’s no wonder it keeps going farther south. Those are some heavy rates. I will also mention this is the warmest time of day so if it would speed up then temps would be lower at the start and if it slowed down temps would be falling. I still think it’s interesting how many areas have snow (per this map) even during the warmest time of day.
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Some of the GEFS members have been hinting at freezing rain by mid month and the subtropical jet looks to remain active as well. If that colder air pushes south and east and meets with that subtropical jet - we could have a catastrophic ice event.

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WxWatch said:
Some of the GEFS members have been hinting at freezing rain by mid month and the subtropical jet looks to remain active as well. If that colder air pushes south and east and meets with that subtropical jet - we could have a catastrophic ice event.

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If we can’t have snow I’ll take a 2-3 inch freezing rain event.


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H
Ethan80963 said:
This needs to be watched the GFS over the last few runs keeps ramping up precip and bringing the rain/snow line farther south. And with rates that heavy it’s no wonder it keeps going farther south. Those are some heavy rates. I will also mention this is the warmest time of day so if it would speed up then temps would be lower at the start and if it slowed down temps would be falling. I still think it’s interesting how many areas have snow (per this map) even during the warmest time of day.
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Here we go again, sounding at my area supportive of wet snow, just the BL bit warm but snow could survive that, especially with heavy rates 1D9B7537-5216-4E30-94CE-4B482BE0DB4F.png
 
Jessy89 said:
If we can’t have snow I’ll take a 2-3 inch freezing rain event.


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Yeah, I don't think there's going to be any solid chances of snowfall anytime soon, not with the SER holding it's position. Ice events can last way longer in the south than snow events.

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WxWatch said:
Yeah, I don't think there's going to be any solid chances of snowfall anytime soon, not with the SER holding it's position. Ice events can last way longer in the south than snow events.

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Gfs though is trying to create a novelty snow though for 85 north in upstate sc parts of NE Georgia and a pretty good snow for western NC. With it being 4-5 days out it has my attention


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