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Pattern Fab-February 2020 The dark age

Ilovesnow28 said:
Yeah it's just this winter been so frustrating especially with all the rain we been getting then yesterday we received a flurry for an appetizer only to be teased knowing we would want more
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Yeah, the hell with all the rain. I agree with you there.

Like I said a week ago, I'm not a fan of novelty snow events, and I'm a big, snow lover. They're just a big tease and it either doesn't accumulate or if it does, it's on grassy or elevated surfaces and quickly melts. Some folks today had a novelty event while others cashed or lucked out.

I loved the 70's and 80's winter weather. Some folks who was either born too late or were too young to remember, really missed out on some good winter weather in the South during the '70's and '80's. I also enjoyed the early 2000's.
 
Allatoona is near full pool which doesn’t happen much this time of year. If we get the totals that are being spit out this week things could get interesting.
 
ColaSnow said:
Yeah, the hell with all the rain. I agree with you there.

Like I said a week ago, I'm not a fan of novelty snow events, and I'm a big, snow lover. They're just a big tease and it either doesn't accumulate or if it does, it's on grassy or elevated surfaces and quickly melts. Some folks today had a novelty event while others cashed or lucked out.

I loved the 70's and 80's winter weather. Some folks who was either born too late or were too young to remember, really missed out on some good winter weather in the South during the '70's and '80's. I also enjoyed the early 2000's.
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Agree. In fact, in some ways, novelty snows are painful, as they tend to leave us thinking about what might/should have been.
 
olhausen said:
Actually quite the opposite. Everyone is posting in the other thread as parts of the south have seen 4-6 inches of snow today.
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Yeah. I think a lot of people who got snow today are preoccupied with actual snow and not model snow lol. I still feel pretty good about another snow before the first week of march. The atmosphere is primed
 
Jimmy Hypocracy said:
Yeah. I think a lot of people who got snow today are preoccupied with actual snow and not model snow lol. I still feel pretty good about another snow before the first week of march. The atmosphere is primed
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Yeah, it's certainly possible. My last true snow happened nearly 3 years ago in mid-March. I ended up with about 2" that day. It coated everything, too.

Similarly to you today, it could've easily been 5", and we're talking about mid-March.
 
All in!
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GaWx said:
Today’s snow was during MJO 5, the warmest phase on average showing you never know!
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Our current base climate state has uncoupled the relationship between ocean currents and the atmosphere. May require a reinterpretation of the metrics we follow to predict our weather.


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ForsythSnow said:
Lanier is 2.75 above full pool. Here we go again this year with heavy lake shore flooding. I expect it to be around 1075 or 1076 by Saturday.
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Let's just hope the dry season doesn't take a toll ... April and May can be unkind to the Lake ...
 
SD said:
Good. Maybe we can avoid a cold March and go right into the 70s and 80s, it's been a while. This should almost guarantee not seeing a single flake in 2019-2020.
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Come March I am generally ready to see 70s and 80s. This winter as a whole has sucked just as bad as 2011-2012 imo. Ready to flush this winter down the toilet.


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It looks like the shorter wavelengths don't make a difference because we can't seem to get out of this warm pattern. Kinda thought we were due but maybe not.
 
Something worth noting on the last few GFS runs: that Arctic air that the Euro had been more excited about to plunge into the Midwest next week is getting stronger and stronger on the GFS. This is a serious bout of Arctic coming down. which would easily be the coldest of the season to date in the Midwest. If this trend continues, this will likely have much colder implications for the SE late next week into the weekend, which may include a strong CAD:

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I love it another work week with highs in the 60s then boom likely in the 30s next Saturday maybe 50 Sunday. I don't think it's completely unreasonable to think some areas in central nc see their coldest temp of the winter so far Saturday morning based off of the euro/eps look. A little bit of a breeze might keep us from reaching our bottom but a 18-22 type morning looks like a decent possibility
 
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SD said:
I love it another work week with highs in the 60s then boom likely in the 30s next Saturday maybe 50 Sunday. I don't think it's completely unreasonable to think some areas in central nc see their coldest temp of the winter so far Saturday morning based off of the euro/eps look. A little bit of a breeze might keep us from reaching our bottom but a 18-22 type morning looks like a decent possibility
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No doubt, after a week of rain it WILL BE DRY AND COLD next weekend! ?
 
Keeping hope alive with the highly inaccurate and cold biased CFS:
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Yes, that’s a +PNA that keeps showing up for around this period although it cannot at all be trusted. Just enjoy the pretty pic, even though it is only fantasy right now:

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SD said:
I love it another work week with highs in the 60s then boom likely in the 30s next Saturday maybe 50 Sunday. I don't think it's completely unreasonable to think some areas in central nc see their coldest temp of the winter so far Saturday morning based off of the euro/eps look. A little bit of a breeze might keep us from reaching our bottom but a 18-22 type morning looks like a decent possibility
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Tons of trees have flowered out here. Bradford pears, dogwoods and a couple of other types. A morning like that will put a hard stop to that if not kill off the flowers.

Edit to show my neighbors tree fully flowered out
 

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