lexxnchloe
Member
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Pattern Fab Feb
- Thread starter SD
- Start date
I think Pivotal has a US view at no cost.
That's one heck of a hail storm!
This one?
Xlhunter3
Member
NWS Raleigh on Friday
KEY MESSAGE 4... An unsettled pattern is expected mid to late
week, bringing increasing precipitation chances and a potential
for a wintry mix on Friday
Several shortwave disturbances will move across the region mid to
late week, resulting in multiple rounds of precipitation. The first
chance arrives Wednesday, when temperatures in the 60s will support
all liquid precipitation. Another round associated with a cold front
will move in Thursday afternoon into the evening, with temperatures
gradually falling as a cooler airmass filters in behind the front.
Showers are expected to persist into Friday morning, with a
rain/snow mix possible, mainly across the northern half of the CWA.
A weak area of low pressure lifting north from the south on Saturday
may bring isolated light showers, with temperatures generally
remaining above freezing.
KEY MESSAGE 4... An unsettled pattern is expected mid to late
week, bringing increasing precipitation chances and a potential
for a wintry mix on Friday
Several shortwave disturbances will move across the region mid to
late week, resulting in multiple rounds of precipitation. The first
chance arrives Wednesday, when temperatures in the 60s will support
all liquid precipitation. Another round associated with a cold front
will move in Thursday afternoon into the evening, with temperatures
gradually falling as a cooler airmass filters in behind the front.
Showers are expected to persist into Friday morning, with a
rain/snow mix possible, mainly across the northern half of the CWA.
A weak area of low pressure lifting north from the south on Saturday
may bring isolated light showers, with temperatures generally
remaining above freezing.
Icon, like Canadian last night has ice with snow on top. It actually windes this booger up pretty good on the coast. Euro and euro ensembles getting more an more company to come on board.
Gotta see them have it 120 under, for me to buy in. But its attn grabbing for sure
Gotta see them have it 120 under, for me to buy in. But its attn grabbing for sure
U are at the window looking in so go ahead and buy lol
How do you explain the WxBell Euro AIFS showing 12” of snow while temperatures are in the 60s? These snow maps have major algo issues.
lexxnchloe
Member
GFS is a no go thru 162 but at least the low is in W KY instead of ND
But a big nod to the euro there on that progression..now I’m a little more interested
GFS was on to something til it took our low from Macon GA due north to *checks notes* Charleston WV in one 6hr frame 
lexxnchloe
Member
Yes a step in the right direction
Blue_Ridge_Escarpment
Member
I didn’t see that here. Maybe it struggles on the fringes? But it was very steady here as well along with the AIs of the euro and gfs
lol
Canadian says we’re cooking here. Early congrats to @LukeBarrette 
Canadian needs to get here about 12 hours earlier. Have more cold at front end. Otherwise we ice,till coastal winds up enough to drag down more cold, and we flip to snow.
It can dish that lakes low as well, since im ordering menu items
It can dish that lakes low as well, since im ordering menu items
Gonna be a slop storm no doubt.
0Z CMC at 132 hours (Fri at 7AM, just after the snow starts in E NC) looks fairly similar with surface features to 12Z/18Z Euro and 12Z UKMET but is far different from 0Z GFS/Icon:
0Z GFS:
0Z Icon:
0Z UKMET 132: similar to 0Z CMC but just rain on this and later maps. Then again, 850s are <0 and similar to those for CMC. UK Pivotal snow algo could be off.
Pivotal snow maps in general are questionable imho. Often too much from counting all wintry as snow, but this case is if anything, underdone.
Pivotal snow maps in general are questionable imho. Often too much from counting all wintry as snow, but this case is if anything, underdone.
dsaur
Member
I don't think it's much different than having the 0 line in Lake City and it's raining across N. Ga. I've seen that more than I care to. To me the models, like the clown maps, are mostly for entertainment, until a few days out.
Brent
Member
Lol it has started 
00z Euro has light snow breaking out all across NC on Friday afternoon/evening.
