• Hello, please take a minute to check out our awesome content, contributed by the wonderful members of our community. We hope you'll add your own thoughts and opinions by making a free account!

Pattern Fab Feb

CNCsnwfan1210 said:
130b36810401b770d1045f46915dd39c.gif

12z RGEM suggesting wintry precip for parts of NC Wednesday night/Thursday morning


Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk
Click to expand...
Love that super dark blue area that moves over RDU at the end.
 
And this is Kuchera. RDU has 3" on the 10:1 maps. Would be absolutely hilarious, and typical, if this trends into a bigger storm than this past weekend for RDU. We back into our better storms.

Definitely could see this being a Moyock jackpot.

1770047353007.png
 
NCSNOW said:
Looked out through LR. Just looks Ho-Humbug/ seasonal throughout Feb. Might can whip something up mid month. If we score its gonna have to catch some 2 day ripple where everything just lines up right. Pattern is going to start its seasonal shuffling, meaning roller coaster time as winter will start its wind down second half of Feb into early March. The CFS now goes out into the 1st week of March. Looks like the Block stays pretty entrenched up over Greenland for next couple of weeks is about only positive Ive noticed. Pretty much just seasonal wx. Which for most of us outside of elevation equals to avg daytime highs evolving and scooting back up into the 50's.

Pattern chasing is no fun after Groundhog day. You have to look for smaller windows than what you look for Nov, Dec and Jan. Occasionally you get some Like 2013, or that March back in the 1960's. So it's doable, but your better served looking for 3-5 day windows that can yield an opportunity
Click to expand...
We haven't had one sneak up on us a day, day and a half out, for some time. About time for a big dog surprise storm. I don't think the models are good enough now to catch 'em all up close.
 
KSAV had 19 for yesterday’s low, which was a new record. This ties with the 19s in Dec ‘22, Jan ‘18, and Jan ‘14 for the coldest since Jan ‘11’s 18. To put this into even better perspective, the coldest there since 1990 is only a little lower, 17! The last Feb with it this cold was 1996. Only 8 other Febs since 1874 have had a low colder than 19 meaning this is ~95 percentile for a coldest Feb low!
 
GaWx said:
Oranges are subject to being ruined if temps are AOB 28F for 4+ hours assuming no adequate protective measures were taken.
Click to expand...

Followup: the FCOJ mkt is way down today signifying that FL Orange damage was fortunately likely not widespread enough to have a significant market impact.
 
tempo47 said:
What happened to the 50 inch gfs snow storm a few days ago we need that back
Click to expand...

We lost the pattern look that we had that would suggest continuation of what we had for a few weeks after a warm start to the year.

Considering the way winter has gone, I wouldn't write it off completely, but anything beyond the new thread that was created for now would likely have to be CAD related.
 
Further to the post above:

Today’s Euro Weeklies are, if anything, even worse than yesterday’s if you want a cold pattern in the E US. Also, the 10 mb has pulled up somewhat on the mid Feb reversal chance.

Cue the folks that say the EW shouldn’t run daily lol, which is irrelevant:
IMG_7962.png
 
You must log in or register to reply here.
Back
Top