Pattern Fab Feb

[atlwx]

Most likely culprit is the sun imo. Not sure of the how. We just wrapped up a solar maximum. Headed toward solar minimum now. Beleive sun flips its poles every 11 years and does all kinds of crazy stuff. Im no expert, but I know it has to play a big role on not just our atmosphere, but also tectonic plates, earth magma etc.
I think we rightfully so try to annalyze sea surface stuff alot, like mjo, mountain torgue, base state, etc. But there is so much that goes on underneath the indian and pacific ocean, geo magnetic wise that probably change sea temps, which in turn drive weather patterns. Just thinking out loud here.

One thing is certain. Chaos. We do our best to find patterns. And there are patterns. But literally everything you can think of has some impact. Including the very fact that you are thinking about this. Because chaos.

But leaving chaos out (pffft. But let’s try anyway). There are decadal patterns too. And even longer ones.

Prolly too small a sample size (and too soon) to jump to any conclusion that we are, somehow, returning to some glorious past with more wintry hits for the SE.

But… tossing all logic aside. Y’all ain’t alone in letting this “wishful” thinking in. I wonder and want it to be true too. Cuz I miss those amazing times too! And what if? Guess we’ll find out.

 

[bncho]

Most likely culprit is the sun imo. Not sure of the how. We just wrapped up a solar maximum. Headed toward solar minimum now. Beleive sun flips its poles every 11 years and does all kinds of crazy stuff. Im no expert, but I know it has to play a big role on not just our atmosphere, but also tectonic plates, earth magma etc.
I think we rightfully so try to annalyze sea surface stuff alot, like mjo, mountain torgue, base state, etc. But there is so much that goes on underneath the indian and pacific ocean, geo magnetic wise that probably change sea temps, which in turn drive weather patterns. Just thinking out loud here.

Maybe... but I think we hit solar maximum in 2024, and there's usually a 1-2 year lag between the correlation of blocking and solar min, and vice versa. That means this would be the most hostile year, just based on the sun.

 

[lexxnchloe]

 

[atlwx]

View attachment 192271

Will never verify, but it is the image I needed to end the evening. thanks for that. Better to go to sleep in hope than in loss.

 

[Jimmy Hypocracy]

View attachment 192271

That looks like tomorrow’s radar

 

[lexxnchloe]

That looks like tomorrow’s radar

And this is another storm right after

 

[Ollie Williams]

If this verified, I would consider the past 7 winters forgiven

 

[lexxnchloe]

If this verified, I would consider the past 7 winters forgiven
View attachment 192273

snow piles in walmart till july

 

[Jimmy Hypocracy]

B2B Miller A bombs and Jimmy gonna retire from the hobby

 

[xshare]

B2B Miller A bombs and Jimmy gonna retire from the hobby View attachment 192274

This might qualify for the most insane clown run I’ve ever seen, and there have already been quite a few doozies this year.

 

[Spurs up]

B2B Miller A bombs and Jimmy gonna retire from the hobby View attachment 192274

Im dead

 

[Jimmy Hypocracy]

GFS gave us 25 years worth of snowfall in 384 hours. This is my new favorite weather model screenshot of all time. Straight to the top of the list. It’s so much snow they had to make it booger green

 

[WolfpackHomer91]

If this verified, I would consider the past 7 winters forgiven
View attachment 192273

That would bring the Ole Climo avg back up to 6-8” for us here


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[Brent]

Lol

 

[CyclonicFury]

There's a legitimate chance RDU goes more than 2 weeks straight without reaching 50°F. The persistence of this cold could be historic

 

[Jimmy Hypocracy]

Until a persistent ridge steps in and takes over, there’s no reason to think we’re close to done here. You’ll know it when we are, but we ain’t there yet

 

[tempo47]

I wouldnt be surprised if we get more winter weather at this point, its been crazy

 

[Jimmy Hypocracy]

Like I said last week, the pattern mandates snow

 

[Brent]

Oh there's no way it's over here haha

But seriously February is a lot of years our best month tbh

It's gonna be hard to top the last 2-3 weeks though

I mean there's places in my apartment complex still covered in snow and it's been 6 days since the snow stopped

 

[dsaur]

I said before last weekend, that good Patterns come along and get stuck in a rhythm where you get multiple weeks with a winter wx threat on the same day, Seen it happen several times. Don't ask me why.
We'll here we are . Looking at the 3rd weekend in a row with this latest threat. Suites me fine. Skimming the other Ops , they all show it, so it's legit. Gonna enjoy this one and hopefully avoid the dry slot screw job.
What a winter this is shaping up to be. This weekend will be the 6th time mby has had frozen precip fall from the sky. 5 as pure snow. The accum department could definitely use a boost.
Not out of the realm of possibilities, but we might can make a run at a 2-3 week stretch of actually having frozen on the ground.

Let 'em come, lol. The more chances I have to get a roaring sleet/snow shut down like folks east are getting. I love it out there when no one goes out. I may be stuck at the bottom, but I'd love another shot at the big state road hill. Takes a lot of sleet to shut down a county road. Every body has to take the four wheel down and up. The sleet fills right back in. One of the last super good ones down here was in the middle of a string.

 

[Tarheel1]

If this verified, I would consider the past 7 winters forgiven
View attachment 192273

Frame worthy

 

[Prestige Worldwide]

GFS gave us 25 years worth of snowfall in 384 hours. This is my new favorite weather model screenshot of all time. Straight to the top of the list. It’s so much snow they had to make it booger greenView attachment 192276

When you get on a Heater- enjoy the heck out of it

 

[weather bubba]

GFS gave us 25 years worth of snowfall in 384 hours. This is my new favorite weather model screenshot of all time. Straight to the top of the list. It’s so much snow they had to make it booger greenView attachment 192276

This map is avatar worthy. It is the ultimate clown map. We would need the moisture from a tropical system combined with cold air from the polar vortex like today to produce totals like that.

 

[Brent]

Somehow it's almost even worse haha. Faster for sure

 

[NorthGaWinter4]

Heavy snow and wind. This is pretty awesome. Accumulating very quickly

 

[Rain Cold]

Great googly moogly @ the CFS.

 

[SnowNiner]

Y’all reel in one for me. Punch in the stomach I left the bullseye for today. Need another one to make me feel better next weekend.

 

[LukeBarrette]

Look familiar?

 

[MSnowAtl]

View attachment 192557
Look familiar?

Man gone!!!

 

[kennedybb6]

Yall I just wiped out my car on ice here in union county area roads in bad shape stay home

 

[accu35]

Feb 12-14 timeframe looks like big potential

 

[MSnowAtl]

Feb 12-14 timeframe looks like big potential

We got to do better here in ATL ansd points west!

 

[BKWRN29]

Feb 12-14 timeframe looks like big potential

It’s so far away though. It could end up being sunny and 75 by the time we get there hopefully this is our big one

 

[weather bubba]

Thank god…this nightmare will eventually end

View attachment 192644

The second half of February will put us out of our misery in Raleigh. Until then, we will have more missed snow opportunities to come.

 

[MSnowAtl]

GFS & EURO has a massive warmup doing that valentine day period. Big switch from yesterday.

 

[mjscott30]

GFS & EURO has a massive warmup doing that valentine day period. Big switch from yesterday.

As much as I love snow, I'm rolling in a parade on the 14th. I've spent too much money on throws to see it cancelled. Of course, now that I've said it out loud, it'll snow 5 inches here and I'll be stuck with beads and ramen noodles.

 

[WxGSO]

We've all seen this winter show a warm up, then BAM, back to cold. I wouldn't hold my breath for a warm up. Not saying I would appreciate it, though.

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[Tarheel1]

Thank god…this nightmare will eventually end

View attachment 192644

We need western troughing

 

[Tarheel1]

It’s coming and it can’t come fast enough. Big ole Alaska low…

This nightmare winter hopefully ends soon. We just need that -NAO to die, all that does is block Raleigh from getting snow.

View attachment 192693

I need my snowpack back

 

[Psalm 148:8]

I will puke all over the place and post it here if I get missed out on a 4th snowfall/ice/sleet SOMETHING!! I could count the amount of individual flurries I got this morning! If I get warned for this post.. so be it!! This winter couldn’t be worse!!! Except if you live west of me in Alabama!!