If I’ve learned anything the last few weeks, it’s that I’m only worried about what the WeatherNext says, followed by the Euro AI. Everything else will just trend in their direction eventually and nothing else matters. Takes some of the fun out of it, but as long as they are still showing a strong signal, I’m happy
-
Hello, please take a minute to check out our awesome content, contributed by the wonderful members of our community. We hope you'll add your own thoughts and opinions by making a free account!
Pattern Fab Feb
- Thread starter SD
- Start date
At this point, I’d prefer to have the Euro AI and WeatherNext on our side.
I don't mean to alarm anyone but this is what the WxNext had 144 hours out from our current system:
This is what king euro had:
....and this is how weathernext looks this morning, 168 out.
This is what king euro had:
....and this is how weathernext looks this morning, 168 out.
Brandon10
Member
UK has done decent on large features this winter. Id buy into it WeatherNext, Euro AI. Not worried abt what GFS CMC currently show.
We mise well preheat the over. She comin.
SegTindo
Member
i am prepared to scrap and claw and fight to get 0.5" QPF back into the upstate while I-95 rages
BKWRN29
Member
If things don’t start to align here in the next day or two, I think we are losing the battle.
Tokenfreak
Member
Is there somewhere I can view the weathernext models and read more about that model. I’d like
To learn more about it. Thanks!
To learn more about it. Thanks!
BKWRN29
Member
Does that extend west into Alabama?
It’s on Stormvista. It’s not on Tropical Tidbits, WeatherBell nor Pivotal Weather.
its hard not to be intrigued by every ai model that killed it on the last storm honking this loudly
dumb analogy but it reminds me when analytics/advanced stats are super high on an athlete even when his/her conventional stats are unimpressive. rookie season jokic
dumb analogy but it reminds me when analytics/advanced stats are super high on an athlete even when his/her conventional stats are unimpressive. rookie season jokic
i hate an analytics darling. show me the proof!
It’s Google’s experimental weather model, it’s not publicly available yet except for insiders/Mets (and somehow Stormvista?). But it’s been by far the most accurate this year. And the run to run changes are very slow/minimal from what I’ve seen. It’s quite consistent, unlike the physics models or even the other AI models
Tokenfreak
Member
Ok cool thanks for the reply and explaining that. Good to know.
I mean that thing lined this week's storm up from 72 yards out and sent it down the gullet like Cam Little. What in the world
wow
Member
If AI pulls another win here, the world of model hugging changes forever. Amazing consistency despite the flopping of the classic operationals.
Did it last week too. Settled on the coastal track early and never wavered.
BKWRN29
Member
Does it show snow over Alabama? I don’t have access to that model.
accu35
Member
Can you back that map up west?
Iceagewhereartthou
Member
i see a big coastal miller a on the wxnext and an H5 pattern that looks leagues better than this week ever did. we had SER signal on ensembles as soon as this storm popped last sunday which should have been a big red flag to everyone, including me. not saying it can't end up the same way but i'd be quite surprised
NBAcentel
Member
Even without the southern stream wave, your dropping a nuke of northern stream wave down, you could make some northern stream driven snow work here to 
wow
Member
Need the southern low to hold its own. The classic models have been losing it for the last day or so. AIFS and Google are still holding enough of it for a phase. Would still like that to trend some more to really pull this in. Still got time.
accu35
Member
So far on the 12z runs today, the southern stream has trended north some. Almost Euro like. If we keep this NW trend just nudging each cycle runs then we are gonna be tracking a legit winter storm for next weekend
SegTindo
Member
Manifest it!
We WILL have a winter storm in the Deep South!!!
Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk
Nope
It’s going to snow again. Jimmy guarantee. The pattern mandates it
That model had a 1-2 inch mean across a lot of Alabama. It was posted earlier this morning.
SegTindo
Member
Is there a way to bet on the jimmy guarantee cause I’m all in!!
Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk
Maybe since the GFS/GEFS so bad, it will be good.
@Drizzle Snizzle might take the bet
Mandate it over this way. Missed this one and haven’t had a decent snow in 9 years.
wow
Member
AIFS trend
lexxnchloe
Member
Nothing is more miserable than a cold pattern that delivers nothing.