As long as that trough is there this "hurricane" will go OTS.
Edit: Uh oh high gets further enough south that it makes a left.
Edit: Uh oh high gets further enough south that it makes a left.
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Tropical Ex-Invest 96L
- Thread starter GaWx
- Start date
It’s on the SW side of the low though. Winds are from the north. Will probably rot there.
It will still go OTS on the run.
Im not believing anything that has a deep trough in the east until like 84hrs out. I do not need my heart broken.
Speaking of crazy happy hour runs, the Real GFS has a very interesting solution at the end of its run.
On Pivotal, the Legacy turns out to be nothing.
Henry2326
Member
What a dance....
Pivotal has it out to 384hrs? Good deal, nice to know.
SCWXGuy
Member
Isn't it crazy that the GFS has this storm pulling up offshore of CHS by a couple hundred miles on the 30th anniversary of Hugo, parks there to troll SC for a few days before exiting stage right. If Humberto doesn't form in the disturbance headed to the Gulf this system would also bear Hugo's replacement name 
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GeorgiaGirl
Member
0z GFS brings another idea to the table. Weaker, further south, goes over Hispaniola as a minimal tropical storm, then just sits there and spins south of Florida for 24 hours while strengthening some (edit2: honestly maybe longer than that). Moved slowly before then too.
Edit: and now turns northeast and makes a beeline for Grand Bahama and Abaco Island while really strengthening. Good thing this is fantasy land as the GFS is a BAADD troll.
Edit: and now turns northeast and makes a beeline for Grand Bahama and Abaco Island while really strengthening. Good thing this is fantasy land as the GFS is a BAADD troll.
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Wow I don’t know what it is but these last couple of years seem like storms like to Stall more often.
GeorgiaGirl
Member
The anatomy for this one to become a fish for the US could be a system behind this one. On this run (and maybe some previous runs and on the legacy) you can clearly see it help give an avenue for the exit. If not then I think it probably landfalls as a minimal hurricane (assuming what you have from this run) and if the system behind takes it out there could be major problems.
Of course this will change at least 10000 times and it assumes a tropical system forming period.
Of course this will change at least 10000 times and it assumes a tropical system forming period.
Euro either hits extreme south FL or Cuba and would be gulf bound. Big change there.
BHS1975
Member
Brent
Member
Larry will have to confirm, but should be a lot more Gulf storms on the 0z EPS.
Very interesting, Ive always thought Data ingestion only happens on the 0z and 12z runs, but now Im not so certain. Both 6z FV3 and GFS match the location of fhe storm and ridge structure of the 0z EPS. Buckle up time is getting closer.
EDIT= Really impressive agreement at H5 between the 0z Euro, 6z FV3 and 6z GFS at 168hrs.
EDIT= Really impressive agreement at H5 between the 0z Euro, 6z FV3 and 6z GFS at 168hrs.
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Larry will have to confirm, but should be a lot more Gulf storms on the 0z EPS.
I'm not Larry, nor do I have his expertise, but I can shed some light on this question. EPS has TCs from the Gulf to Bermuda at day 10:
Thanks. I see that it is skewed by the 941mb member south of Cuba.
Henry2326
Member
06z GPS, your Gulf warning is heard. Michael 2.0......although further south in Florida....
It's a beast...moves across FL at 939 and into SC coast at 956.
CMC taking the same path to the Gulf.
Watching for 12z Euro to see if it moves south.
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