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Observations Early 2019 S/E Heatwave Duration Record

The high today looks to be 93*F here and at ATL.

Correction - 94*F at ATL (1 degree off the record high).

Another correction - Make that 94*F at ATL and here.

There's a little bit of good news here. The last 7 GFS runs ending with today's 12Z had a high of 98 at KSAV. The actual high today was 96. So, even the GFS, which has generally been not quite as hot as the Euro, was 2 F too warm today. Hopefully, that's a sign that the even hotter Euro can be thrown out due to too low dewpoints per a met I read. Nevertheless, the latest GFS still has hottest highs at KSAV at 100-103 the next 7 days. Even after taking 2 F away, the implication is that it is going to be quite difficult to not hit 100 on several days upcoming. So, I expect that to occur. Let's see what happens.

At least here, the GFS and HRRR were right on the mark.
 
Tomorrow looks rough.

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It's been hot, but the evenings have felt pretty good...not like the mid-summer super humid crap.

That will change by late next week as the SW flow kicks in and humidity ramps up.

BTW, for those looking forward to the SER flattening, the 00z GFS was a notable step backwards. In fact, up until 372hr (when a decent cold front seems to finally come through), it's 90s most of the time.
 
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It’s going to be another hot one folks. Maybe a chance of snow later on in the forecast.
 
As of 11AM, temps today/Fri:
Aug 92/86
Mcn 91/86
Sav 92/84
Way 89/83
Ahn 89/84
Chs 92/84
Cae 92/88

Upper 90s to low 100s for today look to verify at these places for highs
 
As of 11AM, temps today/Fri:
Aug 92/86
Mcn 91/86
Sav 92/84
Way 89/83
Ahn 89/84
Chs 92/84
Cae 92/88

Upper 90s to low 100s for today look to verify at these places for highs

Here are today's highs:

Aug 100: hottest so early in season; ties hottest ever in May with 1926/1878
Mcn 99: hottest so early in season; ties hottest ever in May with 1967/1953/1898
Sav 100: ties hottest so early in season with 1953
Way 98+
Ahn 97
Chs 97: ties daily record
Cae 100

Some others with records: GNV 99, ATL 94, SSI 98
 
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Here are today's highs:

Aug 100: hottest so early in season; ties hottest ever in May with 1926/1878
Mcn 99: hottest so early in season; ties hottest ever in May with 1967/1953/1898
Sav 100: ties hottest so early in season with 1953
Way 98+
Ahn 96+
Chs 97: ties daily record
Cae 100

Some others with records: GNV 99, ATL 94, SSI 98
You missed one, Larry ... :confused:
99º
 
Phil, look back. I mentioned GNV's 99 record below the top list. Yes, misery loves co. No walk outside today!
There was at 5:30 but certainly not today or tonight. Planning on spending the day at ChopStix on Bivens Arm tomorrow, looking at the lake and critters from a big air conditioned picture window!
 
The high today at ATL was 94*F, officially breaking the previous record high of 93*F back in 1996.
 
Here are today's highs:

Aug 100: hottest so early in season; ties hottest ever in May with 1926/1878
Mcn 99: hottest so early in season; ties hottest ever in May with 1967/1953/1898
Sav 100: ties hottest so early in season with 1953
Way 98+
Ahn 96+
Chs 97: ties daily record
Cae 100

Some others with records: GNV 99, ATL 94, SSI 98

Beaufort, SC took top spot with 102° today.
Alma, GA recorded 100°.
Only saving grace is the dewpoints are dropping into the low and mid 60s during peak heating/temps.
 
Beaufort, SC took top spot with 102° today.
Alma, GA recorded 100°.
Only saving grace is the dewpoints are dropping into the low and mid 60s during peak heating/temps.

Thanks. Also, Albany was 99. As awful as today and the next few days will be, I don’t think we’re going to get those even higher Euro predicted temps.
 
Beaufort, SC took top spot with 102° today.
Alma, GA recorded 100°.
Only saving grace is the dewpoints are dropping into the low and mid 60s during peak heating/temps.

It really wasnt bad today or yesterday here. It was hot for sure, but the humidity being low made it managable.
 
dID I not say when the faucet turned off it would really turn off? and I was dismissed by Webber and others back in winter forecasting this in the spring/summer. WHERE IS MY INTERNSHIP GSP
 
Thanks. Also, Albany was 99. As awful as today and the next few days will be, I don’t think we’re going to get those even higher Euro predicted temps.

I think our worst 3 days are starting tomorrow thru Tuesday. Although the GFS still suggests some compressional heating skyrockets CHS up to 102 WED.
Today was odd. 97 still but our winds shifted light NE around 9am and remained that way until this afternoon with the sea breeze front. The lower dewpoints today were indeed one caveat that did not make it feel downright oppressive
 
Going to take a big event to shake up the pattern. If hurricane season doesn’t do it, we look for a derecho, if neither occurs, we look for a Fall time tornado or winter weather event. Exciting.
 
1 PM today/1 PM yesterday/change

FL: no change
GNV 94/94/0
JAX 93/93/0

GA: mixed
ATL 91/91/0
AUG 97/97/0
MCN 97/94/+3
SAV 97/95/+2
SSI 93/95/-2
WAY 94/95/-1
AHN 92/93/-1

SC: about the same
CHS 96/95/+1
CAE 96/97/-1
GSP 92/92/0

NC: mainly warmer
GSO 88/86/+2
CLT 91/92/-1
FAY 95/91/+4
RAH 91/85/+6
 
Going to take a big event to shake up the pattern. If hurricane season doesn’t do it, we look for a derecho, if neither occurs, we look for a Fall time tornado or winter weather event. Exciting.
I think a comet might do it, but it would have to hit Wilkesboro to help us all out!
 
..THE GAINESVILLE CLIMATE SUMMARY FOR MAY 26 2019

VALID TODAY AS OF 0500 PM LOCAL TIME.

..............................................................


TEMPERATURE (F)
TODAY MAXIMUM 100R 344 PM
 
The high here today was 95*F, while the high at ATL was 94*F (tying the previous record back in 1936).
 
Apparently, GSP has set or tied record highs, the last 3 days in a row!?
 
Today's highs for some locations:

FL:
GNV 100 ties daily record/hottest in May since 1953
JAX 98

GA:
ATL 94 ties daily record/3rd 94 in a row
AGS 101 new May record
MCN 100 new May record
SAV 101 new daily record/ties May record/hottest so early in season/hottest in May since 1945;
SSI 94
WAY 101+: at least ties daily record
AHN 97

SC:
CHS 100 new May record
CAE 100 ties daily record
GSP 96 ties daily record for 3rd day in a row

NC:
GSO 91
CLT 95
FAY 100 new daily record/hottest in May since 1953
RAH 94 ties daily record

TN:
CHA 95 new daily record/hottest in May since 1962

AL:
MOB 96 ties daily record
MGM 97 ties daily record
TCL 98 new daily record/hottest in May since 1941
 
Does anyone have any analogs or information that compares other Summers that had heat waves of this magnitude in May or close to it?
 
Does anyone have any analogs or information that compares other Summers that had heat waves of this magnitude in May or close to it?

*MAYBE* 1996?

My main issue with that one is we're in a weak El Nino now, while 1996 was a weak La Nina (though oddly enough, the 2019 pattern has been very La Nina-like).
 
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