Storm5
Member
Yeah that’s a good point . The eps does seem to get block happy only to always fail us . I guess we have become use it lol
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Pattern December, Make analogs relevant again
- Thread starter GaWx
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- inspired by mack
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Brick Tamland
Guest
Local mets starting to mention the possibility of seeing some snow here Christmas afternoon/evening.
It may have been, but I think this set definitely has more agreement with the OP. The overall anounts don't mean as much if the same general setup is sniffed out.
Taylor C
Member
For our Carolina FRIENDS
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Lol. How is this generated? Did they skew this to make it look good? This looks nothing like the GEFS on the COD weather model page. You can spot the strips of snow in a similar fashion, but the totals on this are much inflated.
Storm5
Member
Lol really skew it to make it look good ? Come on
All wintry precip is counted as snow with the algorithm they use
Xtreme Weather
Member
Like to see in the land of models how the Christmas day system continues to evolve we may be over looking this system for areas of Mississippi, AL and portions of the Deep South... Watching for trends
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Completely agree, maybe even other areas a little NE of there too... the orientation of the trough is gonna slow the arctic front down and any little impulse that can keep the precip going or even build back could easily lead to a small surprise. Speaking mostly for my area and by small I mean ending as snow but still would be awesome.
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Any outside shot of a brief wintry possibility for tomorrow evening is now gone on the NAM, but man gonna be a raw day here..
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accu35
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If this system works out, and we can get some good moisture coming in, and all end as snow i can see a 1-3" easly. Do you?
I seriously doubt it, maybe in your neck of the woods if it works out a dusting or so maybe...
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cd2play
Member
I still think there is plenty of potential for Christmas week.
GFS is running.
NWMSGuy
Member
That storm system at hour 90 look like Severe Weather to you guys?
DadOfJax
Member
Not at all.
tennessee storm
Member
Especially southern half mid south. Yes won’t dig in details just yet
GFS looks colder on Christmas Eve.
LovingGulfLows
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The arctic front is definitely progressing faster and faster. At Hr 126, the 0c 850mb isotherm shifted a good 75-100 miles southeast.
The GFS has a white Christmas in Southwestern Georgia. SO CLOSE!
RollTide18
Member
While everyone is talking about winter wx, you're like "finally some severe wx" lol, hope it's not too bad but I hope everyone gets their preferred weather within the next few weeks.
Oh boy colder for sure and very close to a Christmas day surprise... big changes actually. Sped up cold by 24 hrs
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And I thought fall severe weather season was coming to a close !
NC folks getting sucked in lol and if it can hang on look out Phil
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If the GFS verifies, it could give Phil a White Christmas he shall never forget.
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Brick Tamland
Guest
Might need that thread today after all. Shall I bring the magic again for a white Christmas?
I know models been all over the place but if that digs just a little more Christmas could get interesting.... last 4 GFS runs
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DadOfJax
Member
More of a "cold chasing moisture" setup....never works out. Its not just about the cold speeding up, but you need the LP to stall or find some kind of hitch, or its out to sea with the front.
We're only 6 days away. I say go for it !
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Brick Tamland
Guest
Okay. If we get a couple more runs showing the possibility today, it might be time to bring the...
Flurry
Member
I'm pulling for Phil over my selfish desires...Hope you get dumped on, Phil
pcbjr
Member
Thanks! Holding off counting any chickens; haven't even seen the eggs laid yet ...
Banter....Okay. If we get a couple more runs showing the possibility today, it might be time to bring the...
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WeatherWatch
Member
Yup, we need to watch that wave.I know models been all over the place but if that digs just a little more Christmas could get interesting.... last 4 GFS runs
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Edit: The latest Euro has that trough at a more positive tilt.
And now for next week's potential, there's our energy out west
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I'm going to delete this because it's banter but that being said, I totally agree
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Please refrain from any and all post referencing when, if, who, why, threads should or shouldn't be started. Please keep it on topic.... thanks
Or if you must discuss it do it in banter please.
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Or if you must discuss it do it in banter please.
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Cary_Snow95
Member
Cold shot afterwards looks worse
Even if we do get a storm after Christmas, it could be too warm to support any wintry precipitation.
Cary_Snow95
Member
