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Pattern December, Make analogs relevant again

SD said:
Bitter is an understatement. But in all seriousness after the cold the next 5-7 days I think we will all want a break

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The question then becomes how long of a break...That’s a question that concerns me but we’ll see.


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whatalife said:
The question then becomes how long of a break...That’s a question that concerns me but we’ll see.


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Not a forecast - but if one were to take the 18Z GFS literally, we could all do a lot of skiing on Christmas Day - water skiing ... :(
One reason I continue to have trepidation about major winter events in the SE before 12/20 ...
But, but, but ...
 
pcbjr said:
Not a forecast - but if one were to take the 18Z GFS literally, we could all do a lot of skiing on Christmas Day - water skiing ... :(
One reason I continue to have trepidation about major winter events in the SE before 12/20 ...
But, but, but ...
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Widespread 70s.... Nice Nina look
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pcbjr said:
Not a forecast - but if one were to take the 18Z GFS literally, we could all do a lot of skiing on Christmas Day - water skiing ... :(
One reason I continue to have trepidation about major winter events in the SE before 12/20 ...
But, but, but ...
Click to expand...

Thought you meant just before Halloween or in November. Not before 12/20.

It's in funnyland but if the pattern breaking down were to be true...
1. I'll be glad that I'm going to LaFayette tomorrow as it's going to be difficult to reestablish this pattern. It's not snow falling but hey it's snow on the ground and I'll get to see a lot of it from the Atlanta area NNW'ard.
2. This is an early 90s winter all over again, very cold early but really warm afterward, unlike a lesser version of 10/11, which we all are hoping for.
 
GeorgiaGirl said:
Thought you meant just before Halloween or in November. Not before 12/20.

It's in funnyland but if the pattern breaking down were to be true...
1. I'll be glad that I'm going to LaFayette tomorrow as it's going to be difficult to reestablish this pattern. It's not snow falling but hey it's snow on the ground and I'll get to see a lot of it from the Atlanta area NNW'ard.
2. This is an early 90s winter all over again, very cold early but really warm afterward, unlike a lesser version of 10/11, which we all are hoping for.
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I say that starting with before Halloween because that's when the 1st wishcasters come out; 2nd round is in mid-November when some start the "white Thanksgiving" mantra; go back and look and you'll see I've been adamant this season and for years about when late December starts winter it usually gives us all, including your lovely Curmudgeon, a long stretch afterwards; the reverse (except 1963 and 1977) just doesn't seem to work.

~~~~~~~~~~~~~

Have fun on your trip and be safe!

Best!
Phil
 
In 1993 we got a blizzard after an extended period of 70 degree weather. Just saying. I'm not a met student like most of you but I have enough commonsense to recognize trends and similarities. I could be wrong but I could be right. Who knows
 
whatalife said:
If there was a dislike button I’d hit it a 1000 times. LOL!


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Maybe if we all do a communal prayer, Webb can find some gyre spinning SW of New Zealand or some other far-be-gone place none of the rest of us has the aptitude to look at and the run in 4 days will be solid blue, wall to wall ...
 
gotta love fantasy land...

I still haven't forgiven the predictions of some fantasy land fun Christmas last year that turned into a record high for the 2nd Christmas in a row. :confused:

3rd time's the charm right?
 
MSnowAtl said:
Any EURO news?
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0z EPS past day 10 tries to rebuild the +PNA/-EPO look again with trough over East. Hints of some SE ridging prior to but nothing significant. D15 EPS H5 mean is a nice look. I know it's out in la la land but for a mean it is great going into Christmas.
Images: D10 5H mean, D15 5H mean, and then D10 and 15 850 temps means.
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There is nothing really discouraging on any of the LR operational charts. Very cold air looks to build up over Canada with general troughing in the US. We should be variable, but to my eye, it looks like we will be generally at or below average with a couple of short warm-ups mixed in.

Unfortunately, it's not a SE winter storm pattern, and we don't have any hints of Greenland blocking. That said, it looks like there are a few systems that can lay down some snowcover to the north, which can hopefully help us down the road.
 
JHS said:
We can forget it in SC and much of NC. Bring on spring and severe storms for us. I hope temps are 20 degrees or more above normal for the next 4 months straight.
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I'm staring at cotton balls coming down as we speak! Bring on the severe! :)
 
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